Research on Cold Chain Logistics Demand Forecast of Fresh Agricultural Products in the Yellow River Basin
The Yellow River basin is densely populated and boasts a relatively abundant resource of fresh agricultural and sideline products.Effectively forecasting the demand for cold chain logistics of fresh agricultural and sideline products within the region holds significant practical implications for meeting the consumption needs of the populace,unleashing their latent consumption potential,and vigorously promoting rural revitalization.Based on the geographical features and development situation of the Yellow River Basin,this paper selects economic development level,logistics infrastructure construction,and people's living standard as three primary indicators to construct an index system.First,the GM(1,1)model is used to forecast the dependent variable,and then the PCA-GM(1,1)composite model is used for forecasting.The results show that the demand for fresh agricultural products cold chain logistics in the Yellow River Basin will main-tain a high growth trend in the next seven years.Based on the model results and the realistic perspective,three sugges-tions are proposed:accelerating the construction of modern agricultural systems,solidly promoting the construction of cold chain logistics infrastructure,and expanding the demand for cold chain logistics.
the Yellow River BasinGM(1.1)modelfresh agricultural productsdemand forecast
万方数据
维普
