Analysis and Prediction of Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions in Henan Province
This paper introduces six factors into STIRPAT model,including population,urbanization rate,GDP per capita,energy structure,industrial structure and technological level,and analyzes the impact of each factor on carbon emissions in Henan Province through ridge regression.At the same time,the scenar-io analysis method is used to predict the carbon emission trend under different development scenarios.The results show that industrial structure has the greatest impact on carbon emissions,followed by population size,urbanization rate,per capita GDP,technology level and energy structure.Controlling population size,optimizing industrial structure and adjusting energy structure can effectively promote the realization of carbon emission reduction in Henan Province.This study can,to a certain extent,provide feasible sug-gestions for Henan Provinceto achieve the goal of"2030 carbon peak"as scheduled.
万方数据
维普
