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数字经济、产业结构升级与城市商业经济韧性

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外部事件冲击和内部需求变化使城市商业经济发展面临严峻挑战,数字经济通过促进产业结构升级,提升城市商业经济韧性,为促进消费、稳定经济增长提供有效保障.基于对城市商业经济韧性的合理测度,利用 2011-2021 年我国261 个地级市的面板数据,实证检验数字经济对城市商业经济韧性的直接和间接影响.研究发现:数字经济显著提升了城市商业经济韧性,且通过促进产业结构升级促进城市商业经济韧性的提升;数字经济水平与产业结构升级均存在双重门槛效应,对商业经济韧性的促进效应呈现"倒U型"特征;地区异质性和时期异质性表明东部城市与恢复创新时期数字经济对商业经韧性的提升效应更强.由此,发展数字经济是提升我国城市商业经济韧性的重要途径,应进一步加快数字经济的发展.
Digital Economy,Industrial Structure Upgrading and Urban Business Economic Resilience
External shocks and changes of inner demands bring urban business severe challenges,but the digital economy facilitates the economic resilience of urban business by optimizing industrial structure upgrading,providing an effective guarantee for promoting consumption and stabilizing economic growth.Based on the reasonable measurement of urban business eco-nomic resilience,the impact of digital economy on urban business economic resilience and the main mechanisms of which are empirically examined by using the panel data of 261 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2011 to 2021.This paper finds that the digital economy significantly improves urban business economic toughness,and promotes the improvement of urban business economic toughness through the promotion of industrial structure upgrading;the level of the digital economy and industrial structure upgrading have a double-threshold effect,and the promotional effect on business economic toughness presents an"inverted U-shape";regional heterogeneity and period heterogeneity indicate that the digital economy in eastern cities and in the period of restoration and innovation has a significant impact on urban business economic toughness.Regional heterogeneity and period heterogeneity show that the digital economy has a stron-ger effect on business economic toughness in the eastern cities and the period of restoration and innovation.As a result,the development of digital economy is an important way to enhance the commercial economic resilience of China's cities,and the development of digital economy should be further accelerated.

digital economyindustrial structure upgradingurban business economic resiliencethreshold effect

唐红涛、熊于安健

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湖南工商大学 经济与贸易学院 湖南 长沙 410205

数字经济 产业结构升级 城市商业经济韧性 门槛效应

2024

湖南财政经济学院学报
湖南财政经济学院

湖南财政经济学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.298
ISSN:2095-1361
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)