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经济政策不确定性对我国制造业高质量发展的影响研究

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制造业是立国之本、强国之基,经济政策不确定性影响企业投融资决策进而影响制造业高质量发展.选取 2010-2022 年中国A股上市制造业企业数据,通过构建指标体系运用熵权法测度了中国制造业高质量发展水平,实证分析了经济政策不确定性对中国制造业高质量发展的影响效应及异质性特征.研究表明,中国制造业高质量发展水平总体呈现出先降后升的趋势,制造业发展水平空间分布不均匀,总体呈现出东部的制造业高质量发展水平高于中、西部的空间格局.经济政策不确定性显著推动了制造业高质量发展,结果具有稳健性.异质性分析表明:经济政策不确定性的正向影响在高技术企业、国有企业、大规模企业、西部地区企业和高财政收入地区企业中更为突出.今后政府应加强与制造业企业的沟通,增强政策的可预期性,同时企业应更注重内控质量发展.
Research on the Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the High-quality Development of Our Manufacturing Industry
Manufacturing industry is the foundation of a country and the foundation of a strong country.The uncertainty of economic policy affects the decision-making of investment and financing,and then affects the high-quality development of manu-facturing industry.The data of China's A-share listed manufacturing enterprises from 2010 to 2022 were selected,the high-quality development level of China's manufacturing industry was measured by constructing the index system and u-sing the entropy right method,and the influence effect and heterogeneity characteristics of economic policy uncertainty on the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry were empirically analyzed.The research shows that the high-quality development level of China's manufacturing industry shows a trend of falling first and then rising.The spa-tial distribution of the development level of the manufacturing industry is uneven,and the spatial pattern of the high-quality development level of the manufacturing industry in the eastern region is higher than that in the central and western regions.The uncertainty of economic policy has significantly promoted the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry,and the results are robust.The heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive impact of economic policy uncer-tainty is more prominent in high-tech enterprises,state-owned enterprises,large-scale enterprises,enterprises in west-ern regions and enterprises in high fiscal revenue regions.In the future,the government should strengthen communication with manufacturing enterprises to enhance the predictability of policies,and enterprises should pay more attention to the development of internal control quality.

economic policy uncertaintymanufacturing industryhigh-quality development

袁靖、王靖茜

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山东工商学院 统计学院,山东 烟台 264005

经济政策不确定性 制造业 高质量发展

2024

湖南财政经济学院学报
湖南财政经济学院

湖南财政经济学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.298
ISSN:2095-1361
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)