Energy Investment Risk Identification and Transmission in the Belt and Road Initiative:Based on Complex Network Theory
This paper constructs an energy investment risk index system and risk identification model based on Complex Network Theory and empirically analyzes the risk evolution characteristics,trends and spatio-temporal transmission path of the overseas investment in China's energy industry through the data of 103 countries from 2010 to 2019.Key findings include:(1)Indicators such as control of corruption,government effectiveness,regulatory quality,rule of law,political stability and absence of violence/terror-ism are the key risk points of China's energy industry overseas investments;(2)The transmissibility of China's energy OFDI continues to increase over the past ten years.Examining individual country invest-ment risks reveals Indonesia,Turkey and Brazil showcase internally complex investment risk environ-ments.(3)Based on the minimum spanning tree,investment risks in Europe and Central Asia,Middle East and North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa have shorter transmission paths,increasingly close links and accelerated risk accumulation.
Belt and Road Initiativecomplex networkenergy investmentrisk identificationrisk transmission
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