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安徽农田生态系统碳足迹与经济增长的脱钩关系研究

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安徽省是我国粮食主产区之一,为定量评估其农田生态系统碳排放量、碳吸收量以及碳足迹与农业经济增长之间的关系,研究利用2001-2021年安徽省农业投入和产出统计数据,采用碳排放系数法测算安徽省农田生态系统的碳源、碳汇和碳足迹,并利用脱钩模型评估碳足迹与农业经济增长的脱钩状态。结果表明:2001-2021 年安徽省农田生态系统的碳排放量总体上呈现先上升再下降趋势,各类碳源中土地翻耕和化肥产生的碳排放量占比较大;碳吸收量大致呈现出先增后减再增加的变化;碳足迹整体呈现波动下降趋势,且均低于同期实际耕地面积,表明安徽省农田生态系统处于碳生态盈余状态。总体来看,安徽省农田生态系统碳足迹与农业经济增长呈脱钩状态,但不排除相对复钩的可能。
Decoupling Relationship Between Carbon Footprints of Farmland Ecosystems and Economic Growth in Anhui Province
Anhui Province is one of the major grain producing areas in China.To quantitatively evaluate the relationship of carbon emissions,carbon absorption,and carbon footprints of farmland ecosystems with agricultural economic growth,this paper used the statistical data of agricultural input and output in Anhui from 2001 to 2021 and the carbon emission coefficient method to calculate the carbon sources,carbon sinks,and carbon footprints of farmland ecosystems in this province.The decoupling model was adopted to estimate the decoupling state between carbon footprints and agricultural economic growth.The results showed that the carbon emissions of farmland ecosystems in Anhui first increased and then decreased during 2001-2021.The carbon emissions from land tillage and fertilizer accounted for a large proportion among all carbon sources.The amount of carbon absorption generally presented an increasing-decreasing-increasing trend.The overall carbon footprint showed a declining trend with fluctuations,which was lower than that in the actual cultivated land area during the same period,indicating that the farmland ecosystems in Anhui had surplus carbon.In general,the carbon footprints of farmland ecosystems and agricultural economic growth in Anhui were decoupled,while the possibility of relative re-coupling could not be excluded.

farmland ecosystemcarbon emissioncarbon absorptioncarbon footprintdecoupling model

张悦、刘奔跃、李大硕

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桂林理工大学商学院,广西 桂林 541004

农田生态系统 碳排放 碳吸收 碳足迹 脱钩模型

广西研究生教育创新计划项目

YCSW2024369

2024

湖南农业科学
湖南省农业科学院 湖南省科技厅星火促进会 湖南农业大学

湖南农业科学

影响因子:0.415
ISSN:1006-060X
年,卷(期):2024.(7)