Study on dynamic evolution and influencing factors of location distribution of offshore wind farms
In order to cope with energy security and climate change,and cultivate emerging industries,China has vigorously developed the offshore wind power industry.After more than ten years of development,the total installed capacity of offshore wind power has leapt to the first place in the world.But in this process,the location selection of wind farms shows significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity.that is,as time goes by,it experiences a dynamic evolution process from Jiangsu to Fujian,Zhejiang,Guangdong,Shandong.It is of great significance for the government to formulate effective policies to promote the industrial development on the basic of studying the dominant factors affecting the location distribution in different stages.According to the policy documents issued by the state and the data published by China Wind Energy Association,the development stages of offshore wind power were divided.And the evolution of location distribution was measured from a new research perspective by using extended model of the dynamic offset-share model.Then,by the combination of the fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis(fsQCA)and the geographic detector model,the change of dominant factors of location distribution was analyzed from a dynamic perspective,and the development paths of provinces and cities with prominent growth rates were analyzed.The study shows that in the early stage of development,the location selection is largely affected by government support and natural factors.With industrial development and technological progress,innovation environment and professional talents gradually become the key factors.Typical development paths include policy oriented,water condition-policy oriented,wind oriented,innovation-talent oriented,talent-policy oriented,etc.Accelerating the cultivating of talents,improving the industrial chain,and optimizing the way of support should become the direction of efforts to promote the healthy and sustainable development of the offshore wind power industry.
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