首页|基于随机森林模型的秘鲁外海茎柔鱼资源丰度与环境因子关系研究

基于随机森林模型的秘鲁外海茎柔鱼资源丰度与环境因子关系研究

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秘鲁外海茎柔鱼是大洋性经济鱼类,其资源丰度受环境因素变化的影响较大.研究基于2018-2021年9-12月秘鲁外海茎柔鱼的渔捞日志数据,并结合卫星遥感获取海表温度(SST)、海表盐度(SSS)、海表高度(SSH)和叶绿素a浓度(Chla)4个环境数据,运用ArcGIS和随机森林模型分析秘鲁外海茎柔鱼资源丰度与环境因子之间的关系.研究结果表明,2018-2021年9-12月茎柔鱼渔场重心分布范围集中于13°~21°S,76°~87°W海域,9-12月渔场重心呈现西北向东南方向移动趋势.随机森林模型分析结果显示,各月环境因子对秘鲁外海茎柔鱼资源丰度和分布的影响存在一定的差异性,最适SST范围16.3~18.5℃,最适SSS范围35.1~35.4,最适SSH范围0.55~0.60 m,最适Chla浓度范围0.18~0.46 mg/m3,通过随机森林模型的CPUE预测值与名义CPUE随时间变化趋势基本一致,表明随机森林模型适用于分析秘鲁外海茎柔鱼与环境因子之间的关系.本研究对了解该海域茎柔鱼资源变动规律、指导茎柔鱼生产具有重要意义.
Relationship between abundance of Dosidicus gigas and environment factors in the offshore waters of Peru based on random forest model
Dosidicus gigas is an oceanic economic fish in the offshore waters of Peru,and its abundance is greatly affected by environmental factors.This study obtained the abundance ofD.gigas through fishing logs from Septem-ber to December in 2018-2021,combined with environmental factors,including surface temperature(SST),sea sur-face salinity(SSS),sea surface height(SSH)and chlorophyll a concentration(Chl a)acquired from satellite remote sensing.Random forest model and ArcGIS were applied to analyze the correlations between the abundance of D.gigas and environmental factors.Results showed that the distribution of the center of gravity of fishing ground was concentrated in the range of 13°-21°S,76°-87°W during 2018-2021,and the center of gravity shifted from northw-est to the southeast from September to December.The results of random forest model analysis showed that,the im-pact of environmental factors on the abundance and distribution of D.gigas in the offshore waters of Peru varied among different months.The optimal SST ranged from 16.3℃ to 18.5℃,The optimal SSS ranged from 35.1 to 35.4,the optimal SSH ranged from 0.55 m to 0.60 m,the optimal Chla concentration ranged from 0.18 mg/m3 to 0.46 mg/m3.The predicted CPUE values derived from the random forest model were generally consistent with the nominal CPUE distribution,indicating the suitability of the random forest model for analyzing the relationship between D.gigas and environmental factors in the offshore waters of Peru.This study is of great significance for understanding the resource dynamics of D.gigas and guiding its production.

Dosidicus gigasrandom forest modelabundanceenvironmental factors

彭伟图、陈峰、李建雄、赵艺翔、董钇江、戴乾、徐汉祥、朱文斌

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浙江海洋大学海洋与渔业研究所,浙江舟山 316021

浙江省水产研究所/农村农业部重点渔场渔业资源科学观测实验站/浙江省海洋渔业资源可持续利用技术研究重点实验室,浙江舟山 316021

茎柔鱼 随机森林模型 资源丰度 环境因子

2024

海洋学报(中文版)
中国海洋学会

海洋学报(中文版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.044
ISSN:0253-4193
年,卷(期):2024.46(7)