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中国农业农村高质量发展的时空特征、区域差异及影响因素

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农业农村高质量发展是新时代中国经济社会高质量发展的基础支撑.采用核密度估计、莫兰指数和Dagum基尼系数分析2006-2020年30个省农业农村高质量发展水平、时空特征及区域差异,并运用地理探测器模型分析影响因素.研究发现:(1)中国农业农村发展质量稳步提升但区域差异显著,东部整体水平最高,西部增长速度最快.(2)空间上正相关性显著,多数省份处于HH区和LL区且无跃迁现象,时间上核密度估计曲线逐渐右移,西部地区省际差异趋于收敛,其余地区内部差异逐渐扩大.(3)基尼系数呈"U"型变化趋势,区域间差异为首要来源,分地区看,东-西部地区间发展差异最大,分维度看,创新及开放发展区域间差异最大.(4)农业农村高质量发展受科技创新、产业结构和金融支农水平等多因素共同影响.
The Spatial-temporal Characteristics,Regional Disparities,and Influencing Factors of High-quality Agricultural and Rural Development in China
The high-quality agricultural and rural development is the foundation for the high-quality development of China's economy and society in the new era.Using Kernel Density,Moran index,Dagum Gini coefficient and geographic detector model,this paper analyzes the high-quality agricultural and rural development level,spatial-temporal characteristics,regional disparities and the influencing factors in 30 provinces from 2006 to 2020.The results show that:1)The quality of agriculture and rural areas develop-ment in China has steadily improved with significant regional disparities,with the highest overall level in the East and the fastest growth rate in the West.2)The positive correlation is significant in space,with most provinces in HH and LL regions without any transition phenomenon and the Kernel density estima-tion curve gradually shifts to the right in time,with the inter-provincial disparities in the West tending to converge,and the internal disparities in the other regions gradually expanding.3)The Gini coefficient shows a U-shaped trend,with inter-regional differences as the primary source.The largest regional devel-opment gaps are found between the eastern and western regions,while disparities in innovation and open-ness to development are the greatest across different regions.4)The high-quality development of agricul-ture and rural areas is jointly affected by multiple factors such as technological innovation,industrial struc-ture,and financial support for agriculture.

agriculturerural areashigh-quality developmentnew development conceptspatial-temporal characteristicsregional disparities

赵丹玉、崔建军

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西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安 710061

甘肃农业大学财经学院,甘肃兰州 730070

农业 农村 高质量发展 新发展理念 时空特征 区域差异

国家社会科学基金重点项目陕西省自然科学基金

18AZD009S2023-JC-QN-0378

2024

华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)
华中农业大学

华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.704
ISSN:1008-3456
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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