Reliability Evaluation of Missile Weapon Systems Based on Bayesian Statistics Model
Based on the Bayesian theory,this thesis integrates the prior information and parts error data of missile weapon sys-tems,establishes a reliable assessment model,calculates with MCMC method and gests reliability point estimation and criteria gap.The results show the above-mentioned model can effectively integrate the reliability of parts error data assessment system of sys-tems,laying foundation for carrying out assessing the reliability of small sample conditioned systems.