首页|人在环装备的可靠性建模与预计方法研究

人在环装备的可靠性建模与预计方法研究

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为解决"人在环"装备可靠性工程实践难题,论文突破现有可靠性建模和预计方法的缺陷和局限性,提出在系统可靠性建模和预计过程中考虑人员特性对系统性能的影响,引入人因可靠性的概念,改进传统可靠性建模和预计技术方法,形成适用于人在环装备系统的新型可靠性建模与预计方法,并给出了具体的实施步骤。针对常见的典型可靠性模型,运用普通概率法,给出人在环装备系统的可靠性数学模型,其中采用统计方法和一种人的可靠性分析模型获取人因可靠性数据。实际算例分析表明,针对人在环装备系统论文提出的技术方法具有普适性和易操作性,相应的基本可靠性和任务可靠性建模与预计结果更真实有效。
Research on Reliability Modeling and Prediction Method of Human-equipment
In order to solve the practical problems of the human-equipment in the reliability engineering,this paper breaks through the defects and limitations of the existing reliability modeling and prediction methods,proposes to consider the influence of personnel characteristics on system performance in the process of system reliability modeling and prediction,introduces the concept of human reliability,and improves the traditional reliability modeling and prediction techniques.A new reliability modeling and pre-diction method for the human-equipment system is developed,and the concrete implementation steps are given.The reliability mathematical model are established for the common typical reliability models by using the general probability method.A statistical method and a human reliability analysis model are used to obtain the human reliability data.The analysis of practical examples shows that the method here is universal and easy to operate,and the corresponding results of basic reliability and mission reliability modeling and prediction are more real and effective.

human-equipmentreliability modelingreliability predictionhuman reliabilitygeneral probability method

刘超然、李天辰、王陶

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广电计量检测集团股份有限公司 广州 510656

中国人民解放军92578部队 北京 100161

人在环装备 可靠性建模 可靠性预计 人因可靠性 普通概率法

云南省基础科学研究基金项目

202201AU07012

2024

舰船电子工程
中国船舶重工集团公司第709研究所 中国造船工程学会 电子技术学术委员会

舰船电子工程

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.243
ISSN:1627-9730
年,卷(期):2024.44(5)
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