With the increasing attention to the impact of equipment maintenance risk,how to quickly and effectively carry out risk assessment has become one of the research hotspots.Monte Carlo method can build a model,generate random numbers(pseudo-random numbers),and obtain approximate solutions by computer simulation sampling.It has universal applicability in risk assess-ment.In the equipment maintenance project,the risk assessment method based on mathematical index method and supplemented by Monte Carlo simulation can be effectively realized through the use of Excel calculation formula,and more reasonable simulation re-sults can be obtained,so as to provide more accurate and intuitive reference information for project managers to make risk decisions.
关键词
装备维修/项目风险评估/蒙特卡罗模拟
Key words
equipment maintenance/project risk assessment/Monte Carlo simulation
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