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浙江金融发展水平与渔业产业拮构相关性实证分析

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金融作为经济发展的核心及关键,对浙江省渔业产业的发展是否有影响,是一个值得探讨的课题.为了更好地促进浙江渔业产业拮构的升级优化,本文采取协整检验,格兰杰因果检验等计量方法,以2004-2020年浙江省金融与渔业产业拮构数据为基础,选取金融规模,金融拮构和金融效率来研究它们之间的相关性.最终发现,金融发展对浙江省渔业产业拮构的优化升级并没有明显的影响.出现这种情况的主要原因是金融发展与经济增长之间存在一种"门槛效应",根据"门槛效应"出现的原因,本文提出发挥金融的引导作用等政策建议,以实现渔业产业拮构的优化升级.
Empirical Analysis of the Correlation between Zhejiang's Financial Development Level and Fishery Industry Structure
As the core and key to economic development,whether finance has an impact on the development of the fishery industry in Zhejiang Province is a topic worth exploring.In order to better promote the upgrading and optimization of the fishery industry struc-ture in Zhejiang,this article adopts econometric methods such as cointegration test and Granger causality test.Based on the financial and fishery industry structure data of Zhejiang Province from 2004 to 2020,the correlation between financial scale,financial struc-ture,and financial efficiency is selected to study them.Ultimately,it was found that financial development did not have a significant impact on the optimization and upgrading of the fishery industry structure in Zhejiang Province.The main reason for this situation is the existence of a"threshold effect"between financial development and economic growth.Based on the reasons for the emergence of the"threshold effect",this article proposes policy recommendations such as leveraging the guiding role of finance to achieve the opti-mization and upgrading of the fishery industry structure.

financial developmentFishery industry structureThreshold effectpolicy suggestion

李佳琪、陈静娜、刘文丽

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浙江海洋大学经济与管理学院,浙江舟山 316022

金融发展 渔业产业拮构 门槛效应 政策建议

2025

江苏商论
江苏省商业经济研究所 江苏省商业经济学会

江苏商论

影响因子:0.369
ISSN:1009-0061
年,卷(期):2025.(2)