首页|社会信用环境与企业违约风险——基于社会信用体系示范城市建设的准自然实验

社会信用环境与企业违约风险——基于社会信用体系示范城市建设的准自然实验

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以2008-2020年A股上市公司作为研究样本,利用社会信用体系示范城市建设刻画社会信用环境并以此作为准自然实验,探究了社会信用环境对企业违约风险的影响。研究发现:良好的社会信用环境可以显著降低企业违约风险。作用机制检验表明,良好的社会信用环境通过缓解融资约束和降低代理成本抑制了企业违约风险。进一步研究发现,在企业资产抵押能力较低、董事会独立性较低、地区法治环境较好以及经济政策不确定性较高的情境下,良好的社会信用环境可以更有效地降低企业违约风险。研究结论不仅丰富了企业违约风险的影响研究,而且检验了社会信用体系示范城市建设的政策效果,为政府部门进一步推进社会信用体系建设、防范化解企业风险提供了经验证据。
Social Credit Environment and Corporate Default Risk:A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on Social Credit System Model City Construction
Taking the A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2020 as research samples,this study utilizes the construction of social credit system demonstration cities to portray the social credit environment and uses it as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate the im-pact of social credit environment on corporate default risk.The study shows that a good social credit environment can significantly re-duce the default risk of enterprises.The mechanism test reveals that a good social credit environment can inhibit corporate default risk by alleviating financing constraints and reducing agency costs.Further research has found that in situations where the company has lower asset collateralization capacity,lower board independence,better regional legal environment,and higher economic policy uncertainty,a good social credit environment can more effectively reduce corporate default risk.The research findings not only enrich the study on the influence of corporate default risk but also verify the policy effectiveness of constructing social credit system demonstration cities.It provides empirical evidence for government departments to further promote the construction of social credit system and prevent and miti-gate corporate risks.

Social Credit EnvironmentCorporate Default RiskFinancing ConstraintsAgency CostQuasi-natural Experiment

范润、翟淑萍、甦叶

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天津财经大学会计学院,天津 300222

内蒙古大学经济管理学院,内蒙古呼和浩特 010021

社会信用环境 企业违约风险 融资约束 代理成本 准自然实验

国家自然科学基金面上项目

71972140

2024

经济经纬
河南财经学院

经济经纬

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.006
ISSN:1006-1096
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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