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制造业投入数字化与生产链长度

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利用1995-2018年OECD世界投入产出与跨国—行业面板数据,实证检验了制造业投入数字化对生产链长度的影响。研究发现:第一,制造业投入数字化显著延长了生产链长度;第二,异质性检验显示,制造业投入数字化对发展中国家、资本密集型行业和全球价值链上游行业以及纯国内生产活动的影响更为明显,并且国外投入数字化对生产链长度的正向影响要小于国内投入数字化;第三,机制检验显示,制造业投入数字化主要通过扩大中间品进口数量和提高中间品进口质量延长生产链长度;第四,进一步分析表明,消费需求潜力规模能够增强制造业投入数字化对生产链长度的正向影响,而消费需求潜力结构无明显影响,制造业投入数字化在延长生产链长度的过程中存在显著的"行业扩散效应"。研究结论对构建内循环为主、外循环赋能的新发展格局具有重要启示。
Digitalization of Manufacturing Inputs and Production Chain Length
Based on the OECD world input-output and multinational-industry panel data from 1995 to 2018,this paper empirically ex-amines the impact of manufacturing input digitization on the length of production chain.There are following findings:Firstly,digitali-zation of manufacturing investment has significantly extended the length of the production chain;Secondly,heterogeneity testing shows that digitalization of manufacturing inputs has a more significant impact on developing countries,capital intensive industries,upstream industries in the global value chain,and pure domestic production activities.Moreover,the positive impact of digitalization of foreign inputs on production chain length is smaller than that of domestic inputs;Thirdly,the mechanism test shows that the digitization of manufacturing input extends the length of the production chain mainly by expanding the import quantity and improving the import quality of intermediate goods;Fourthly,further analysis indicates that the scale of consumer demand potential can enhance the positive impact of digitalization of manufacturing inputs on production chain length,while the structure of consumer demand potential has no significant impact.The digitalization of manufacturing investment has a significant"industry diffusion effect"in the process of extending the length of the production chain.The research conclusion has important implications for building a new development pattern with internal circu-lation as the main focus and external circulation as the empowerment.

Input DigitizationProduction Chain LengthIntermediate Goods ImportConsumer Demand PotentialIndustry Diffusion Effect

周宏伟、庞素勤、刘曙光、张露文

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南开大学经济学院,天津 300071

华中科技大学经济学院,湖北武汉 430074

中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛 266100

投入数字化 生产链长度 中间品进口 消费需求潜力 行业扩散效应

国家社会科学基金重大项目中国工程科技发展战略山东研究院咨询研究项目

18VSJ067202002SDZD02

2024

经济经纬
河南财经学院

经济经纬

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.006
ISSN:1006-1096
年,卷(期):2024.41(3)
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