首页|农村基本养老保险与农民工回流决策——基于劳动时间与安全性的解释

农村基本养老保险与农民工回流决策——基于劳动时间与安全性的解释

扫码查看
利用2016年、2018年中国劳动力动态调查(CLDS)数据,检验参加农村基本养老保险对外出农民工回流决策的影响。研究发现:第一,参加农村基本养老保险显著促进了外出农民工回流,从地点来看,县城农民工回流务工、县城以外农民工回流务农现象均显著;利用工具变量法和倾向得分匹配法(PSM)进行估计也支持上述结论。第二,基于"工资—闲暇"模型、马斯洛需求层次理论等的分析表明,对工作时间、工作安全的诉求是农村基本养老保险影响外出农民工回流的重要机制。第三,异质性分析表明,家庭收入水平是农村基本养老保险促进农民工回流的重要调节因素。第四,进一步分析表明,农村基本养老保险的"非携带性"是参保促进农民工回流的中间机制的判断缺乏理论和经验支持。研究结论为缓解农村基本养老保险的农民工回流效应提供了经验证据与政策依据。
The Influence of Rural Basic Pension Insurance on the Migration Decisions of Rural Migrant Workers:An Analysis Based on Labor Time and Safety Factors
The study utilizes data from the China Labor-force Dynamics Survey(CLDS)in 2016 and 2018 to examine the impact of participation in the rural basic pension insurance on the return migration decisions of rural migrant workers.The are following findings:Firstly,participating in rural basic pension insurance significantly promotes the return of migrant workers.From the perspective of loca-tion,the return of migrant workers to work in counties and the return of migrant workers from outside counties to work in farming are significant.The above conclusions are also supported by using the instrumental variable method and the propensity score matching method(PSM)for estimation;Secondly,analyses based on the"wage-leisure"model and Maslow's Hierarchy of needs theory show that demands for working hours and work safety are important mechanisms for rural basic pension insurance to affect the return of mi-grant workers;Thirdly,heterogeneity analysis indicates that family income level is an important moderating factor in the rural basic pension insurance's promotion of the return migration of rural migrant workers;Fourthly,further analysis demonstrates that the judg-ment regarding the"non-portability"of rural basic pension insurance as an intermediate mechanism for promoting the return migration of insured migrant workers lacks theoretical and empirical support.This study provides empirical evidence and policy implications for alleviating the return of rural migrant workers triggered by rural basic pension insurance.

Rural Basic Pension InsuranceMigrant Workers'ReturnWorking HoursJob SecurityHousehold Income

丛胜美、罗必良

展开 >

华南农业大学 国家农业制度与发展研究院,广东 广州 510642

河南财经政法大学农业农村发展学院,河南郑州 450046

农村基本养老保险 农民工回流 工作时间 工作安全 家庭收入

2024

经济经纬
河南财经学院

经济经纬

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.006
ISSN:1006-1096
年,卷(期):2024.41(6)