The Local Government Debt and Corporate Investment"from Real to Virtual"
How to understand the impact of local government debt in the development of the national economy is the focus of current academic and government departments.This paper uses the Chinese listed companies'data and prefecture level cities local government debt data from 2009 to 2018,and empirically examines the impact and mechanism of local government debt on corporate entity investment and financial investment from the perspective of financing structure.We draw the following conclusions.First,the expansion of local government debt lead to a decline in non-state listed companies'entity investment and a rise in financial investment.While there was no significant impact on the investment of state-owned listed company.This means that with the expansion of the scale of local government debt,the investment of non-state-owned listed companies has shown a trend of"deviate from real to virtual".Second,that the impact of local government debt expansion on corporate investment has obvious regional,industry and individual heterogeneity.At the regional level,the increase of local government debt has a greater impact on promoting the enterprise financial investment in the eastern region,and has a more obvious inhibitory effect on the entity investment in the central and western regions.At the industry level,the increase in local government debt will lead to an increase in the financial investment of non-state-owned enterprises in infrastructure construction related industries,while the entity investment of non-state-owned enterprises in other industries will decline.At the individual level,the preferential tax policies will lead to a higher increase in financial investment of non-state-owned enterprises,while the enterprises entity investment that do not enjoy the preferential tax policies will decline more.Third,the rise in local government debt has led to changes in the financing structure of non-state-owned listed companies,while the financing structure of state-owned enterprises has changed little.It is verified that the change of financing structure is the potential impact mechanism that lead to the corporate investment"deviate from real to virtual".Fourth,from a development perspective,on the one hand,financial investment yields will decline as local government debt expands,so the long-term and continuous increase of financial investment is not conducive to the operation of enterprises and the development of the national economy.On the other hand,local government debt funds invested in infrastructure and people's livelihood can alleviate the decline in entity investment,which indicating that good infrastructure is conducive to the development of the real economy.Finally,according to the research conclusions,this paper puts forward some targeted policy recommendations.It can be summarized into three aspects:Firstly,we should focus on controlling the scale of local government debt within a reasonable range,prevent the disorderly expansion of debt,and optimize the investment direction of debt funds,so that the government debt funds can better play a positive role in driving public investment and industrial development.Secondly,further improve the information disclosure system of listed companies so that investors can correctly understand the potential risks.At the same time,attract more types of investors to undertake local government deb.Thirdly,government departments can adopt more precise industrial policies,create a good policy environment conducive to enterprises'active participation in entity investment,guide social capital into the real field,and promote the long-term healthy and sustainable development of the national economy.
local government debtinvestmentfinancializationfinancing structure
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