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竞争还是合作:纵向财政关系改革下的政府行为抉择

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纵向财政关系的规范与协调是建立现代财政制度的必要条件.本文从省直管县财政体制改革入手,探究了纵向财政关系改革下纵向层级政府在财政竞争与合作行为之间如何抉择的问题.本文基于1997-2009年全国县级面板数据,利用计量模型开展实证分析后发现,当地级市的财政利益因省直管县财政体制改革受损时,总体来看其下辖的非改革县的财政支出和转移支付将会增加,这表明地级市为弥补自身利益会对余下非改革县进行帮扶以求合作共赢.此外,异质性分析结果表明:"强市弱县"情况下的地级市和组织政府性基金收入能力强的地级市对余下非改革县的帮扶力度较大;地级市主要借助于专项转移支付工具对余下非改革县进行帮扶而非一般性转移支付.
Competition or Cooperation:The Choice of Governments'Behavior under Vertical Fiscal Relation Reform
Intergovernmental vertical fiscal competition and cooperation are important issues in the research of vertical fiscal relations.China's initiation of the Province-Managing-County(PMC)reform in 2004 provided a favorable opportunity to explore the dynamic choices of intergovernmental vertical fiscal competition and cooperation under the reform of vertical fiscal relations.Since the PMC reform was not uniformly implemented but rather piloted in certain provinces,there are both reformed and non-reformed counties under the same prefecture-level city.This situation provides an excellent opportunity to investigate the decision-making of intergovernmental vertical fiscal competition or cooperation under the changes in vertical fiscal relations.Before and after the reform,the fiscal affairs of non-reformed counties were under the direct jurisdiction of prefecture-level cities.If prefecture-level cities where these counties were located initiated pilot reforms of the PMC,these non-reformed counties became what we term"remaining non-reformed counties."Since prefecture-level cities might incur financial losses due to the reform,prefecture-level cities no longer had direct fiscal jurisdiction over reformed counties,nor influence over their fiscal interests.However,the fiscal affairs of remaining non-reformed counties continued to be directly managed by prefecture-level cities.Therefore,prefecture-level cities,in addition to their own efforts,might engage in vertical fiscal competition or cooperation with remaining non-reformed counties to compensate for their own interests,thus potentially impacting the fiscal situation of these counties.Based on this premise,the dynamic choice problem of intergovernmental vertical fiscal competition or cooperation can be explored under the reform of vertical fiscal relations.To analyze this,we utilized county-level panel data from 1997 to 2009 and constructed a DID model to conduct empirical analysis.The findings suggest that when prefecture-level cities suffered financial losses due to the PMC reform,fiscal expenditures and transfer payments of non-reformed counties still under their jurisdiction tended to increase.This indicates that prefecture-level cities might provide assistance to remaining non-reformed counties to achieve cooperation for mutual benefits.This result was robust and confirmed through various robustness tests including additional control variables,PSM-DID,and placebo tests.Heterogeneity analysis revealed that prefecture-level cities in situations characterized by"strong prefecture-level cities and weak counties"and prefecture-level cities with strong revenue-generating capabilities from governmental funds tended to provide greater assistance to remaining non-reformed counties.Prefecture-level cities primarily relied on special transfer payment tools rather than general transfer payments to provide assistance to remaining non-reformed counties.

vertical fiscal relationshipPMC reformfiscal competition and cooperation

赵旭杰、宁静、张圣哲、余超

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对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院

中央财经大学财经研究院,邮政编码:100081

中山大学国际金融学院

对外经济贸易大学统计学院

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纵向财政关系 省直管县财政体制改革 财政竞争与合作

国家社会科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

17CJY05271503289

2024

经济理论与经济管理
中国人民大学

经济理论与经济管理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.858
ISSN:1000-596X
年,卷(期):2024.44(5)