The Sudden Stop of International Capital Flows and the Leverage Ratio of Non-financial Listed Companies
Stabilizing the leverage ratio of enterprises is an important equilibrium point for achieving macroeconomic stable growth and preventing risks.Based on the quarterly data of 3,154 listed companies of A-share markets from 2004 to 2019,this paper investigates the impact and mechanism of the sudden stop of international capital flows on of the leverage ratio of listed Companies.This paper finds that:(1)The sudden stop of international capital flows will cause a 99.56％decline in the growth rate of the leverage ratio of listed companies.Both the sudden stop of debt capital and equity capital flows have a negative effect on the leverage ratio.(2)The negative impact of the sudden stop on the leverage ratio of companies is more obvious in non-state-owned,high foreign trade regions,and companies with high investment payback periods.(3)The sudden stop of debt capital mainly reduces the growth rate of the leverage ratio by reducing credit.The sudden stop of equity capital flows can affect the leverage ratio by:reducing credit and depressing asset prices.(4)Strengthening capital account control,implementing classified and targeted macroprudential supervision,and counter-cyclical foreign exchange market intervention can effectively alleviate the impact of the sudden stop on the leverage ratio of enterprises.risks.The marginal contributions of this paper are reflected in the following aspects:Firstly,using the data of listed companies in A share stock markets,regarding the sudden stop as a macro shock,this paper specifically examines the relationship between the sudden stop,and the leverage ratio of companies,enriching the related research on the factors influencing the leverage ratio.Secondly,it expands the research on the financial risks derived from international capital flows.Currently,most of the literature on capital flows is based on perspectives such as the probability of financial crises and the international contagion of financial risks,lacking micro-level evidence.Thirdly,this paper divides international capital and examines more meticulously the impact of the sudden stop of equity capital and debt capital flows on the leverage ratio,as well as the channel differences of domestic and foreign-funded enterprises encountering the sudden stop shock and the differences in short-term and long-term leverage adjustments in response to the sudden stops.Finally,this paper further studies the effect of capital control policies,counter-cyclical policies of foreign exchange market intervention,and macroprudential supervision in responding to the sudden stops and stabilizing the leverage ratio of listed companies,providing policy references for the prevention and control of financial risks.
sudden stop of international capital flowsleverage ratio of non-financial enterprisesbanking creditasset pricecapital controls
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
