首页|基混合建模方法循环流化床锅炉深度调峰NOx排放预测

基混合建模方法循环流化床锅炉深度调峰NOx排放预测

Prediction of NOx emissions from deep peaking circulating fluidized bed boilers based on a hybrid modelling approach

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为响应碳达峰,碳中和目标,我国循环流化床锅炉大规模参与深度调峰运行,导致锅炉NOx排放浓度波动范围大,控制效果不佳,难以满足污染物超低排放需求,因此对深度调峰NOx排放浓度进行精准建模预测有重要意义.以即燃碳模型为基础,深度剖析炉内NOx生成和还原机理,建立炉内即燃碳燃烧模型、O2动态平衡模型、CO软测量模型、NOx生成与还原模型,完成SNCR入口 NOx浓度机理计算;选取给煤量、床温、烟气温度及含氧量、一二次风量、尿素溶液流量作为NOx排放浓度的输入变量,将SNCR入口 NOx浓度计算值作为拓展输入变量,对所有输入变量与NOx排放浓度进行相关性分析和迟延补偿,完成数据集重构;采用长短期记忆神经网络对重构数据集进行训练和预测,并将鲸鱼优化算法用于长短期记忆神经网络的参数优化,建立循环流化床锅炉深度调峰NOx排放浓度机理——数据混合预测模型.仿真验证表明混合预测模型不同工况下预测性能和泛化能力好,能够实现循环流化床锅炉变负荷时NOx排放浓度的实时预测,相较其他预测模型的各项误差性能指标均显著提升,平均绝对误差δMAE达2.14 mg/m3,平均相对百分误差δMAPE达5.68%,决定系数R2达0.902 1.混合预测模型能精准预测循环流化床锅炉深度调峰下NOx排放浓度,为循环流化床锅炉超低排放智能控制系统的设计提供参考.
In response to the goal of Carbon peak Carbon neutral,China's circulating fluidized bed boilers participate in deep peaking oper-ation on a large scale,resulting in large fluctuation ranges of NOx emission concentration in boilers,poor control effect,and difficulty in meeting the demand for ultra-low emission of pollutants,so it is important to accurately model and predict the NOx emission concentra-tion in deep peaking.Based on the instantaneous carbon model,the NOx generation and reduction mechanism in the furnace was deeply an-alyzed,and the instantaneous carbon combustion model,O2 dynamic balance model,CO soft measurement model,NOx generation and re-duction model were established to complete the calculation of the mechanism of the NOx concentration at the entrance of the SNCR.The amount of coal feed,bed temperature,flue gas temperature and oxygen content,the first and second airflow,and the flow rate of the urea so-lution were selected as the input variables for the NOx emission concentration,and the NOx emission concentration was predicted by the SNCR inlet model.The SNCR inlet NOx concentration was used as an extended input variable,and the data set was reconstructed by correlation analysis and delay compensation between all input variables and NOx emission concentration.The reconstructed data set was trained and predicted by using long and short-term memory neural network,and whale optimization algorithm was used for the optimization of parameters of the long and short-term memory neural network to establish a NOx emission concentration model,the mechanism-data hy-brid prediction model,for deep peaking of circulating fluidized bed boilers.The simulation validation shows that the hybrid prediction mod-el has good prediction performance and generalization ability under different working conditions,and is able to realize real-time prediction of NOx emission concentration in circulating fluidized bed boilers at variable loads,and significantly improves all the error performance in-dexes compared with other prediction models,with an average absolute error δMAE up to 2.14 mg/m3,an average relative percentage errorδMApe up to 5.68%,and a coefficient of determination R2 up to 0.902 1.The hybrid prediction model can accurately predict the NOX emis-sion concentration under deep peaking in circulating fluidized bed boilers,which provides a reference for the design of the ultra-low emis-sion intelligent control system of circulating fluidized bed boilers.

circulating fluidized bed boilerdeep peaking regulationNO x emission concentrationdelayed compensationhybrid predic-tive model

张鹏新、高明明、郭炯楠、于浩洋、黄中、周托

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华北电力大学新能源电力系统国家重点实验室,北京 102206

清华大学能源与动力工程系,北京 100084

循环流化床锅炉 深度调峰 NOx排放浓度 迟延补偿 混合预测模型

国家重点研发计划资助项目

2022YFB4100304

2024

洁净煤技术
煤炭科学研究总院 煤炭工业洁净煤工程技术研究中心

洁净煤技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.893
ISSN:1006-6772
年,卷(期):2024.30(9)
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