首页|新质生产力促进就业结构转型了吗——基于超边际一般均衡视角的研究

新质生产力促进就业结构转型了吗——基于超边际一般均衡视角的研究

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本文基于新兴古典经济学理论框架,以新质生产力高质量、高科技、高效能的核心表征为出发点,构建了传统生产力、传统-新质生产力、新质生产力演进的非对称内生分工演进模型.研究发现:内生分工演化下传统-新质生产力融合发展与新质生产力跃升发展将促进人均真实收入及社会整体福利水平大幅提升,为就业结构转型提供经济支持.进一步研究发现:伴随新质生产力的市场均衡结构演进,中高端就业规模呈跳跃式增长且随交易效率提升而促进就业结构转型升级,推动中低端就业人员向中高端就业演化.此外,降低新质生产力固定学习成本、提高市场交易效率将有力助推市场均衡结构的演进,摆脱以传统生产力为主导的就业结构失衡,削减低端就业人员占比.本文为加快发展新质生产力、促进就业结构转型提供了政策启示.
Has New Quality Productive Forces Promoted Employment Structural Transformation?A Study Based on the Inframarginal General Equilibrium Perspective
Based on the theoretical framework of new classical economics,starting from the core characteristics of high quality,high technology,and high efficiency of new quality productive forces,this paper constructs an asymmetric endogenous division of labor evolution model for the evolution of traditional productivity,traditional-new quality productive forces,and new quality productive forces.The study finds that the integrated development of traditional-new quality productive forces and the leapfrogging development of new quality productive forces will significantly enhance per capita real income and overall social welfare under the endogenous division of labor evolution,providing economic support for employment structural transformation.Further research reveals that with the market equilibrium structure evolution driven by new quality productive forces,the scale of mid-to-high-end employment grows exponentially and accelerates the transformation and upgrading of employment structure with the improvement of transaction efficiency,promoting the evolution of workers from low-end to mid-to-high-end employment.Moreover,reducing the fixed learning costs of new quality productive forces and enhancing market transaction efficiency will powerfully facilitate the evolution of market equilibrium structure,breaking away from the employment structure imbalance dominated by traditional productivity,and reducing the proportion of low-end employees.This paper offers policy insights for accelerating the development of new quality productive forces and promoting employment structural transformation.

New Quality Productive ForcesDivision of Labor EvolutionTransaction EfficiencyEmployment TransformationInframarginal Analysis

王成、刘渝琳

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重庆大学公共管理学院,400044

重庆大学公共经济与公共政策研究中心,400044

新质生产力 分工演进 交易效率 就业结构转型 超边际分析

国家社会科学基金重大项目

23&ZD174

2024

经济评论
武汉大学

经济评论

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.49
ISSN:1005-3425
年,卷(期):2024.247(3)
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