首页|中国经济内循环:来自多区域投入产出的演化证据

中国经济内循环:来自多区域投入产出的演化证据

扫码查看
促进国内经济循环是新发展格局的重要内容.构建经济内循环的理论分析框架,将经济内循环分为区域内经济循环和区域间经济循环两个层面,在此基础上设计区域内循环、区域间循环的测度方法,并将全国划分为11 大区域,重新构建11 大区域投入产出表,测度分析2007-2015 年中国经济内循环的区域特征、产业特征及其演化趋势.结果表明:(1)2007-2015 年,中国各区域内部的循环能力总体得到提升,且长三角地区、黄河中下游地区、京津冀地区的区域内循环能力明显强于其他区域;(2)区域间循环系数整体上升,各区域间的差异缩小,其中京津冀地区、长三角地区、黄河中下游地区及大湾区与国内其他区域的联系最为紧密;(3)从区域内产业循环来看,制造业主要通过后向关联促进区域内循环,服务业主要通过前向关联促进区域内循环;(4)区域间产业循环的平均水平提升,通过后向关联促进区域间循环的产业集中在第二产业部门,通过前向关联促进区域间循环的产业集中在第三产业以及农业部门,京津冀地区、长三角地区、大湾区凭借多项优势产业,成为区域经济循环的引擎.
The Internal Circulation of the Chinese Economy:Evidence from the Evolution of Input-Output in Multiple Regions
Promoting domestic economic circulation is an important part of the new development pattern.This paper uses the regional input-output table to construct and analyze the current situation,characteristics and evolution of economic cycle in each major region of China.Based on the analysis of regional input-output tables in 2007,2012 and 2015,the results show that:First,from 2007 to 2015,the internal circulation ca-pacity of each region in China has been improved as a whole,and the internal circulation capacity of the Yan-gtze River Delta region,the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is significantly stronger than that of other regions;Second,the circulation coefficient among regions also increased as a whole,and the differences among regions narrowed.Among them,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,the Yangtze River Delta region,the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region and Greater Bay Area are most closely connected with other regions in the country;Third,in terms of the size of the indus-trial cycle in the region,manufacturing industry mainly promotes the regional cycle through backward linkages,while service industry mainly promotes the regional cycle through forward linkages;Fourth,the average level of inter-regional industrial cycle coefficient has increased.Industries that promote inter-regional cycle through backward linkages are also concentrated in the secondary industry,while industries that promote inter-regional cycle through forward linkages are mainly concentrated in the tertiary industry and agriculture.Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,Yangtze River Delta region and Greater Bay Area have become the engines of regional economic cycle with many advantageous industries.

domestic economic cycleinter regional circulationregional circulationregional charac-teristics of domestic economic cycleindustrial characteristics of domestic economic cycle

江静、张昭君

展开 >

南京大学商学院

南京大学长江三角洲经济社会发展研究中心

经济内循环 区域间循环 区域内循环 内循环区域特征 内循环产业特征

国家社会科学基金一般项目教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目

23BJY00422JJD790037

2024

产经评论
暨南大学

产经评论

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.602
ISSN:1674-8298
年,卷(期):2024.15(2)
  • 18