产经评论2024,Vol.15Issue(2) :92-110.DOI:10.14007/j.cnki.cjpl.2024.02.006

中国经济内循环:来自多区域投入产出的演化证据

The Internal Circulation of the Chinese Economy:Evidence from the Evolution of Input-Output in Multiple Regions

江静 张昭君
产经评论2024,Vol.15Issue(2) :92-110.DOI:10.14007/j.cnki.cjpl.2024.02.006

中国经济内循环:来自多区域投入产出的演化证据

The Internal Circulation of the Chinese Economy:Evidence from the Evolution of Input-Output in Multiple Regions

江静 1张昭君2
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作者信息

  • 1. 南京大学商学院;南京大学长江三角洲经济社会发展研究中心
  • 2. 南京大学商学院
  • 折叠

摘要

促进国内经济循环是新发展格局的重要内容.构建经济内循环的理论分析框架,将经济内循环分为区域内经济循环和区域间经济循环两个层面,在此基础上设计区域内循环、区域间循环的测度方法,并将全国划分为11 大区域,重新构建11 大区域投入产出表,测度分析2007-2015 年中国经济内循环的区域特征、产业特征及其演化趋势.结果表明:(1)2007-2015 年,中国各区域内部的循环能力总体得到提升,且长三角地区、黄河中下游地区、京津冀地区的区域内循环能力明显强于其他区域;(2)区域间循环系数整体上升,各区域间的差异缩小,其中京津冀地区、长三角地区、黄河中下游地区及大湾区与国内其他区域的联系最为紧密;(3)从区域内产业循环来看,制造业主要通过后向关联促进区域内循环,服务业主要通过前向关联促进区域内循环;(4)区域间产业循环的平均水平提升,通过后向关联促进区域间循环的产业集中在第二产业部门,通过前向关联促进区域间循环的产业集中在第三产业以及农业部门,京津冀地区、长三角地区、大湾区凭借多项优势产业,成为区域经济循环的引擎.

Abstract

Promoting domestic economic circulation is an important part of the new development pattern.This paper uses the regional input-output table to construct and analyze the current situation,characteristics and evolution of economic cycle in each major region of China.Based on the analysis of regional input-output tables in 2007,2012 and 2015,the results show that:First,from 2007 to 2015,the internal circulation ca-pacity of each region in China has been improved as a whole,and the internal circulation capacity of the Yan-gtze River Delta region,the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is significantly stronger than that of other regions;Second,the circulation coefficient among regions also increased as a whole,and the differences among regions narrowed.Among them,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,the Yangtze River Delta region,the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region and Greater Bay Area are most closely connected with other regions in the country;Third,in terms of the size of the indus-trial cycle in the region,manufacturing industry mainly promotes the regional cycle through backward linkages,while service industry mainly promotes the regional cycle through forward linkages;Fourth,the average level of inter-regional industrial cycle coefficient has increased.Industries that promote inter-regional cycle through backward linkages are also concentrated in the secondary industry,while industries that promote inter-regional cycle through forward linkages are mainly concentrated in the tertiary industry and agriculture.Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,Yangtze River Delta region and Greater Bay Area have become the engines of regional economic cycle with many advantageous industries.

关键词

经济内循环/区域间循环/区域内循环/内循环区域特征/内循环产业特征

Key words

domestic economic cycle/inter regional circulation/regional circulation/regional charac-teristics of domestic economic cycle/industrial characteristics of domestic economic cycle

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金一般项目(23BJY004)

教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD790037)

出版年

2024
产经评论
暨南大学

产经评论

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.602
ISSN:1674-8298
参考文献量18
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