首页|马克思主义视角下中国社会再生产不平衡的实证研究——兼论国内大循环的构建

马克思主义视角下中国社会再生产不平衡的实证研究——兼论国内大循环的构建

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基于马克思社会再生产理论的推导,可知社会再生产的平衡条件成立与否取决于第Ⅰ部类的积累率,长期平衡的基本特征是两大部类增长率相等.根据中国31个省份5年的投入产出表测算出各省两大部类历年的关键指标,可展开两方面的实证研究:一是考察中国社会再生产的平衡条件和长期平衡情况;二是构建动态面板模型探讨中国社会再生产平衡条件的实现和长期不平衡的修正.结果发现:第一,在全国和东中部地区存在着积累不足的问题,而西部地区则出现了积累过度的问题,表明中国社会再生产平衡条件未得到满足;第二,全国和东中西部地区的第Ⅱ部类增长率均小于第Ⅰ部类增长率,这意味着中国社会再生产在长期内也是不平衡的.第三,无论是平衡条件的实现,还是长期不平衡的修正,提高两大部类的资本有机构成都是最为关键的环节.而且,修正社会再生产不平衡与构建国内大循环具有内在逻辑上的一致性.
Analyzing China's Social Reproduction Imbalance:Insights for Building Domestic Circulation from a Marxist Perspective
Drawing on Marx's social reproduction theory,it's evident that social reproduction's balance hinges on the first sector's accumulation rate,with long-term equilibrium characterized by equal growth rates in both sectors.Analyzing five input-output tables from China's 31 provinces allows for the calculation of key indicators for both sectors and facilitates two empirical studies.The first examines China's social reproduction balance conditions and long-term equilibrium,while the second investigates how to achieve social reproduction balance and correct long-term imbalances in China using Dynamic Panel Data(DPD)models.Findings reveal insufficient accumulation nationally and in the eastern and central regions,but excessive accumulation in the western region,indicating unmet social reproduction balance conditions.Additionally,the growth rate of the second sector is con-sistently lower than that of the first across all regions,suggesting a chronic imbalance in China's social reproduction.Addressing both the balance conditions and long-term equilibrium corrections fundamentally involves enhancing the capital structures of both sectors.Moreover,rectifying social reproduction imbalance aligns with the goal of bolstering the domestic cycle,showcasing an inherent logical consistency between these objectives.

Social ReproductionBalance ConditionsLong-Term BalanceDomestic CycleMarxist Political Economy

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同济大学马克思主义学院

同济大学马克思主义学院高校中国共产党伟大建党精神研究中心同济大学分中心

社会再生产 平衡条件 长期平衡 国内大循环 马克思主义政治经济学

2024

经济社会体制比较
世界发展战略研究部

经济社会体制比较

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.771
ISSN:1003-3947
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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