首页|信贷获取对农村居民家庭消费结构升级的微观效应研究——基于CFPS的实证分析

信贷获取对农村居民家庭消费结构升级的微观效应研究——基于CFPS的实证分析

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文章使用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2010年至2020年共六轮的调查数据,采用双向固定效应模型实证分析信贷获取对农村居民家庭消费结构升级的影响及其作用机制.研究发现:信贷获取能够显著促进农村居民家庭消费结构升级,信贷获取通过增加家庭经营收入和降低家庭预防性储蓄改善家庭消费结构.进一步分析表明:信贷获取能够促进享受型消费,降低生存型消费;在信贷获取改善家庭消费结构的影响中,家庭设备消费起到主导作用;基于家庭生命周期阶段视角分析,信贷获取对稳定期家庭消费结构的改善起到促进作用,而对负担期家庭消费结构的改善起到削弱作用.政府和金融机构应持续推动信贷这一金融工具的可得性,使信贷充分发挥对农村居民家庭消费的正向影响作用.
Examining the Micro Effects of Credit Access on the Upgrading of Rural Household Consumption Structures:An Empirical Analysis Using CFPS Data
This study utilizes data from six rounds of the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)conducted between 2010 and 2020,employing a two-way fixed-effects model to empirically assess the impact of credit access on the upgrading of rural households'consumption structure and the underlying mechanisms at play.The findings indicate that credit access significantly promotes the upgrading of consumption structures among rural households by increasing their operating income and reducing precautionary sav-ings.Further analysis reveals that credit access facilitates enjoyment-oriented consumption while decreasing subsistence con-sumption.Notably,household equipment expenditure emerges as a key mediator in the relationship between credit access and im-provements in consumption structure.Additionally,from the perspective of household life cycle stages,credit access enhances consumption structure improvements during stable periods,while its effects weaken during more burdensome times.Therefore,it is crucial for the government and financial institutions to continue improving credit accessibility as a financial tool to maximize its positive influence on the consumption patterns of rural households.

Credit AccessRural HouseholdsConsumption StructureOperating IncomePrecautionary Savings

刘国强、韩振、李金锴

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中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

中国财政科学研究院

比利时根特大学经济系

信贷获取 农村居民家庭 消费结构 经营收入 预防性储蓄

2024

经济社会体制比较
世界发展战略研究部

经济社会体制比较

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.771
ISSN:1003-3947
年,卷(期):2024.(5)