首页|人与自然和谐共生:中国区域自然资本投资效益测度及潜力分析

人与自然和谐共生:中国区域自然资本投资效益测度及潜力分析

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基于广义国民财富框架识别可持续发展路径,以自然资本视角明确强弱发展可持续性标准。在"多投入-多产出"情境下,通过可变规模报酬(VRS)非径向SBM距离函数Malmquist-Luenberger指数测算绿色全要素生产率(GTFP);由纳入自然资本前后之GTFP变化揭示自然资本投资对发展可持续性的影响(NIE),构建面板计量模型,以系统GMM方法揭示各省份NIE演进模式,并立足我国发展现实探寻其提升路径。研究发现:我国满足可持续发展要求,不同省份NIE存在一定差异,自然资本存在较大的投资潜力;我国NIE随经济发展呈"N"型演进模式,转折点与发展阶段密切关联,发达地区转折点对应的经济发展水平更高;人口适度增长、产业结构调整及环境质量改善对NIE有显著促进作用,节约不可再生自然资源、增加政府消费与推进城市化发展进程对部分地区NIE改善有良好效果,而对外贸易依赖则对NIE有着负面影响。鉴于此,应加强自然资本投资与保护,推进新兴技术产业升级,优化区域自然资本可持续发展模式。
Harmony and Coexistence between Humanity and Nature:Measurement of the Benefits and Potential Analysis of Regional Natural Capital Investment in China
Based on the generalized national wealth framework,this paper gives the sustainable and unsustainable path of development,and defines the sustainability standard of strong and weak development from the perspective of natural capital.Under the"multi input and multi output"scenario,the green total factor productivity GTFP is calculated based on the Malmquist Luenberger index of non radial SBM distance function under variable return to scale VRS condition.From the changes of GTFP before and after incorporating natural capital,this paper reveals the impact of natural capital investment on development sustainability(NIE).This paper builds a panel measurement model,reveals the evolution mode and influencing factors of NIE in various provinces and regions by systematic GMM method,and explores its promotion path based on the development reality of China.The results show that China meets the requirements of sustainable development.There are certain differences in NIE among different provinces and regions.There is still significant investment potential for natural capital.Due to the differences of resource endowment and development level,there are some differences in NIE among provinces and regions,and there is no significant convergence trend.The change of technical efficiency is the primary factor leading NIE.China's NIE presents an"N"evolution model with economic development,the turning point is closely related to the stage of economic development,and the economic development level required for the turning point of developed provinces is higher.The moderate growth of population,the adjustment of industrial structure and the improvement of environmental quality can significantly promote NIE.Saving non-renewable natural resources,increasing government consumption and promoting the process of urbanization also have a good effect on the improvement of NIE in some areas,while excessive dependence on foreign trade will have a negative impact on NIE.In view of this,we should strengthen the investment and protection of natural capital,promote the upgrading of emerging technology industries,and optimize the sustainable development model of regional natural capital.

harmony and coexistence between humanity and naturesustainable developmentnational well-beingnatural capital investmentgreen total factor productivity

张圆、郝枫

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天津商业大学经济学院,天津 300134

人与自然和谐共生 可持续发展 国民福祉 自然资本投资 绿色全要素生产率

国家社会科学基金后期资助项目

22FTJB002

2024

经济体制改革
四川省社会科学院

经济体制改革

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.942
ISSN:1006-012X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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