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银行流动性创造如何影响商业银行系统性风险?——基于系统性风险分解的视角

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基于2007年第一季度至2021年第一季度中国30家商业银行非平衡面板数据,在将银行系统性风险分解为单个银行尾部风险和银行个体与系统的关联性两个维度基础上,实证检验银行流动性创造如何影响商业银行系统性风险。研究发现:银行流动性创造显著降低了银行个体尾部风险,但增加了银行个体与系统的关联性,综合效应提升了银行系统性风险;异质性检验表明:对于资本比率较低的非国内系统重要性银行而言,流动性创造的系统性风险和系统性关联提升效应更强;进一步研究发现:银行流动性创造对系统性风险的正向影响在金融危机时期更为明显,且是由负债端流动性创造所驱动。此外,法定存款准备金率有助于减弱银行流动性创造的系统性风险提升效应。据此,应将银行流动性创造纳入监管范畴,建立立体式风险监管体系,优化宏观审慎监管和微观审慎监管,为经济高质量发展保驾护航。
How Does Bank Liquidity Creation Affect the Systemic Risk of Commercial Banks?——Based on the Perspective of Systemic Risk Decomposition
Based on unbalanced panel data from 30 commercial banks in China from the first quarter of 2007 to the first quarter of 2021,this study empirically examines how bank liquidity creation affects commercial bank systemic risk by decomposing bank systemic risk into two dimensions:tail risk of a single bank and the correlation between individual banks and the system.Research finds that the creation of bank liquidity significantly reduces the tail risk of individual banks,but increases the correlation between individual banks and the system,and the overall effect increases the systemic risk of banks.Heterogeneity testing indicates that for non-domestic systemically important banks with lower capital ratios,the systemic risk and systemic correlation enhancement effect of liquidity creation are stronger.Further research finds that the positive impact of bank liquidity creation on systemic risk is more pronounced during financial crises,and is driven by the creation of debt side liquidity.In addition,the statutory reserve requirement ratio helps to mitigate the systemic risk enhancement effect of bank liquidity creation.Therefore,the creation of bank liquidity should be included in the regulatory scope,a three-dimensional risk supervision system should be established,macro prudential supervision and micro prudential supervision should be optimized,in order to safeguard high-quality economic development.

bank liquidity creationsystemic risktail risksystemic correlation

王海燕

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中共河南省委党校经济学教研部,河南郑州 450000

银行流动性创造 系统性风险 尾部风险 系统性关联

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目

YBNLT2022-026

2024

经济体制改革
四川省社会科学院

经济体制改革

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.942
ISSN:1006-012X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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