Research on the Impact of RCEP on Chinese Residents'Food Consumption Based on GTAP-Dyn
In this paper,the GTAP-Dyn is used to evaluate the economic effects in the 5th,10th and 20th years after the implementation of RCEP,and the change effect of residents'food consumption imports is deconstructed by the AnalyseGE program of GTAP,to explore the influence mechanism of RCEP on the upgrading of residents'food consumption.The results show that the RCEP can effectively alleviate the supply pressure of important agricultural products in China by import expansion of agricultural products through reducing the trade cost.The demand for meat,eggs,milk and fruits is much higher than that of grain products,which promotes the upgrading of food consumption of Chinese residents.The substitution effect is the main path affecting the upgrading of food consumption of Chinese residents,and the income effect is relatively small.The large influx of agricultural products from RCEP partners will have a certain impact on related industries.So it is neccessary to deepen multi-directional cooperation,strengthen the supply chain guarantee capacity,enhance the supply stability of RCEP agricultural products,give full play to its substitution effect on promoting the upgrading of food consumption of Chinese residents,take multiple measures to improve the income level of residents and complement the deficiency of the consumption capacity in promoting the transformation of dietary structure,expand the impact of imported agricultural products on domestic weak competitive industries such as meat,milk and sugar,and promote its healthy development from the top-level design and technological innovation.
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