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系统性关联、个体尾部风险与影子银行

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本文运用前沿的系统性风险分解方法,从区分系统性关联与个体尾部风险这一崭新视角,剖析影子银行对银行系统性风险的驱动效应.研究表明,影子银行业务会显著抬高银行的系统性关联和个体尾部风险,从而加剧系统性风险,而个体尾部风险是主要作用途径.而且,驱动效应随着银行规模、所有制等因素的变化而呈现异质性特征,并在股灾爆发与资管新规颁布等事件前后出现结构性转变.此外,本文提出完善我国影子银行风险防控机制的相关建议.
Systemic Linkage,Bank Tail Risk,and Shadow Banking
With systemic linkage and bank tail risk distinguished,we employ the cutting-edge risk de-composition method to examine the effect of shadow banking on systemic risk.The results show that shadow banking increases systemic risk by amplifying systemic linkage and bank tail risk,of which the latter dominates.Further analysis indicates that the above-mentioned effects are heterogenous with levels of bank size,institutional background,etc.,and has changed structurally before and after the stock market crash and the introduction of Asset Management Regulation.On this basis,we provide suggestions about strengthening mechanism to prevent and control shadow banking risks.

shadow bankingsystemic linkagebank tail risk

杨子晖、林师涵、熊熊

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中山大学岭南学院

中山大学高级金融研究院

天津大学管理与经济学部

影子银行 系统性关联 个体尾部风险

国家社会科学基金重大项目

21&ZD114

2024

经济学(季刊)
北京大学出版社

经济学(季刊)

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.829
ISSN:2095-1086
年,卷(期):2024.24(2)