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产业间要素配置与贸易网络地位

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在生产、销售全球化背景下,一国可以凭借其在贸易网络中的地位,从国际贸易往来中获取更大利益,并逐步提升自身的经贸话语权,而这一过程与合理的生产要素配置密不可分.作为我国经济增长的重要基石,以制造业为代表的工业化体系在过去较长时间内得到了长足的发展.然而,近年来,受多方面因素影响,工业体系的要素配置水平呈快速下降趋势.基于理论与实证分析,本文研究表明,制造业生产要素配置水平的过快下降将导致我国产业在全球贸易网络中偏离核心枢纽位置,且主要表现在出口贸易网络中.机制分析表明,要素配置水平的过快下降将导致资源错配加剧、生产成本上升、地区创业热情萎缩,进而作用于产业在全球贸易网络中的地位.而丰裕的人力资本、新型工业化进程的推进、完善的市场机制与积极的产业政策则显著缓解了上述不利影响.在"保持制造业比重基本稳定,巩固壮大实体经济根基"这一发展理念的背景下,本文的研究结论对我国下一阶段经济转型过程中,特别是新型工业化与数字经济发展进程中,相关产业政策的制定提供了有益参考.
Inter-industry Factor Allocation and Trade Network Status
In the era of globalization,the deepening of the international division of labor and the strategic global distribu-tion of production and distribution activities have elevated the significance of nations'positions within the trade network.The robust development of the manufacturing sector in China,the world's second-largest economy,exerts a profound in-fluence on the dynamics of the global trade network.In recent years,China's industrial system,especially the manufactur-ing industry,has experienced rapid transformations,and the decline in factor allocation efficiency has attracted consider-able attention.The manufacturing industry's diminished output and outward flow of factors may affect China's position in the global trade network,with repercussions for its economic and trade negotiations.In this context,a thorough study of the correlation between inter-industry factor allocation and the status of the global trade network is of great theoretical and practical significance for understanding the new pattern of international trade and promoting the high-quality develop-ment of China's economy.The results are as follows.Firstly,the rapid decline in the efficiency of production factor allocation has significantly lowered the position of Chinese industries in the global trade network,which is especially evident in the export trade net-work.Secondly,the impact of the decline in the manufacturing industry's factor allocation efficiency on various regions and different types of manufacturing industries exhibits heterogeneity.More importantly,the magnitude of this impact is intricately linked to the speed of factor allocation changes.Thirdly,the decline in factor allocation efficiency intensifies the mismatches between labor and capital resources,escalates the labor and financial costs for manufacturing enterprises,dampens regional entrepreneurial enthusiasm,and impedes the optimization of industrial structures.Fourthly,enhance-ments in labor quality,the advancement of new industrialization initiatives,the refinement of market mechanisms,and the implementation of proactive industrial policies can effectively mitigate the adverse effects of declining factor allocation efficiency.This paper yields the following four theoretical contributions and practical implications.(1)Combined analysis of trade network and factor allocation.This study pioneers an integrated approach to trade net-work analysis and factor allocation,establishing a comprehensive analytical framework that offers a novel lens for exam-ining shifts in industrial position in the global trade network.(2)Heterogeneity analysis.By distinguishing between regions and industry types,the study elucidates the diverse im-pacts of factor allocation changes on trade network status,thereby enriching the research in industrial geography and in-ternational trade.(3)Mechanism exploration.The study not only identifies the negative impacts of declining factor allocation effi-ciency on trade network status but also delves into the underlying economic mechanisms,such as resource mismatches,production costs,entrepreneurial enthusiasm,and industrial synergies,providing a theoretical foundation for relevant policy formulation.(4)Analysis of policy regulating effects:The study assesses how elements like human capital,new industrialization,market mechanisms,and industrial policies can regulate the effects of factor allocation changes,offering insights for craft-ing effective industrial policies and bolstering industrial competitiveness.In conclusion,this research not only offers a novel theoretical perspective for understanding the industrial position changes amid the current globalized context but also furnishes policymakers with invaluable insights into enhancing in-dustrial competitiveness by optimizing production factor allocation during economic transitions.Through in-depth analy-sis and empirical validation,the study underscores the importance of ongoing optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure,fostering technological innovation and talent development,and refining market mechanisms and industrial poli-cies in the context of economic globalization.

Factor AllocationTrade NetworkEconomic TransformationNew IndustrializationDigital Economy

王孝松、周钰丁

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中国人民大学中国经济改革与发展研究院,中国人民大学经济学院,邮政编码:100872

对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,邮政编码:100029

要素配置 贸易网络 经济转型 新型工业化 数字经济

2024

经济研究
中国社会科学院经济研究所

经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:4.821
ISSN:0577-9154
年,卷(期):2024.59(10)