首页|财政与货币系统关联效应研究——兼论中国现代财税金融体制建设

财政与货币系统关联效应研究——兼论中国现代财税金融体制建设

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主流理论未充分探讨"财政"与"货币"间的有机联系,"建立现代财税金融体制"的要求,需深入认识"财政"与"货币"间的关联效应.本文在构建财政影响货币系统的综合性分析框架基础上,探索了财政部门影响货币流通的制度基础、传导渠道及调控能力.研究发现:第一,国库集中收付制度、由财政部门履行对国有商业银行出资人职责的制度和财政性信贷制度,赋予了财政部门影响货币创造的能力.第二,财政部门对货币市场形成了强大的影响力:在货币供给方面,国库存款是影响广义货币的重要原因,并且国库存款对货币供给的影响具有明显的周期性特征;在公共金融产品生产方面,近10年,财政性信贷相对商业性信贷的占比呈上升趋势,2022年金融机构贷款中有11.04%—31.29%的信贷属于财政性信贷.第三,用公开市场操作对冲国库收支扰动,用结构性货币政策工具配合财政生产公共金融产品,用国有金融资本的财政出资人特征拓展政府债空间,通过履行对国有商业银行的出资人职责配合央行宏观审慎管理.
Correlation Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Systems:Establishment of China's Modern Fiscal,Taxation and Financial Systems
The Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China(CPC)proposed the establishment of modern fiscal,taxation and financial systems,highlighting the importance of cooperation and coordi-nation between the fiscal and taxation system and the financial system.During the COVID-19 pandemic and in recent years,the unconventional monetary policies adopted by various countries have gradually blurred the boundaries between fiscal and monetary policies,and the monetary effect of finance has become increasingly prominent.However,the current mainstream theory on the path of money creation is still confined to the banking system,and few studies have verified the role of the fiscal department in money creation and its circulation from the perspective of institutional foundations.In fact,the unconventional monetary policies used by various countries not only enable the central bank to grant credit to the fiscal department but also provide a channel for the fiscal department to participate in the allocation of credit resources.In particular,China has a historical tradition and a political system foundation of"inseparability of the fiscal and fi-nancial systems."China's fiscal,taxation and financial systems are different from the established ones in the West.Social-ist public ownership and the leadership of the CPC are the unique characteristics of China's economy.Therefore,it is ur-gent to recognize the inherent unity of China's fiscal and taxation work and financial work in order to coordinate the inter-actions between the fiscal and taxation policies.This paper constructs a comprehensive analytical framework of fiscal influence on the monetary system with"insti-tutional foundation-regulatory capacity"as the main line,and verifies the regular characteristics and important regulatory capacity of fiscal departments influencing the monetary market by using methods such as text analysis,budget decomposi-tion and network analysis.The results are as follows.First,the centralized collection and payment system of the treasury,the institutional arrangement that the fiscal department performs the duties of the investor of state-owned commercial banks,and the fiscal credit risk compensation mechanisms such as the credit enhancement guarantee of government fi-nancing institutions and interest subsidy loans established by the fiscal department have enabled China's fiscal depart-ment to influence money creation.Second,the fiscal department has formed a strong influence on the money market.In terms of money supply,treasury deposits play a crucial role in influencing the changes in broad money and interbank mar-ket liquidity,and their impact on money supply exhibits obvious cyclical characteristics;in terms of the production of public financial products,in the past 10 years,the proportion of fiscal credit to commercial credit has been on the rise.In 2022,fiscal credit accounted for 11.04%-31.29%of the loans of financial institutions.Third,when the fiscal department and the central bank work together,they can employ open market operations to hedge treasury disturbances,use structural monetary policy tools to cooperate with the fiscal department to develop public financial products,and work together with the central bank to implement macro-prudential policy management tools by fulfilling the investor responsibilities of state-owned commercial banks.The contributions of this paper are threefold.Firstly,from the perspectives of institutional foundation and regulatory capacity,it confirms the objective existence of the monetary regulation system of the dual subjects of the fiscal depart-ment and the central bank,which may expand the existing theory's understanding of the subject of money creation and the impact of the fiscal system on the money market.Secondly,it supplements the important arguments in modem mon-etary theory and finds that the centralized collection and payment system of the treasury serves as a basis for applying the modem monetary theory to the creation and recovery of money by the fiscal department.Finally,the comprehensive ana-lytical framework of fiscal influence on the monetary system constructed in this paper,with"fiscal practice as the main line and monetary theory as the branch line,"may provide a framework for subsequent analysis of the monetary effect of finance.

FinanceMoney CreationCoordination between Fiscal and Monetary PoliciesModern Fiscal,Taxation and Financial System

姚东旻、苏代钰、蒋婉蓉、张容瑜

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中央财经大学中国财政发展协同创新中心,邮政编码:102206

财政 货币创造 "双主体"货币调控体系 现代财税金融体制

2024

经济研究
中国社会科学院经济研究所

经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:4.821
ISSN:0577-9154
年,卷(期):2024.59(10)