首页|中国上市企业排污信息管理研究:测度与治理

中国上市企业排污信息管理研究:测度与治理

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面对日益增多的企业排污信息管理问题,如何科学准确测度企业的排污信息管理行为并进行治理,是当前全球关注的一个热点.本文以2015-2021年中国上市企业为样本,利用线性回归模型(OLS和弹性网)、机器学习(神经网络与随机森林)方法构建了企业排污信息管理指标,验证了该指标在中国情境的有效性,并分析了企业排污信息管理的动机与治理.研究发现:(1)基于线性回归模型、机器学习方法构建的指标均能有效衡量企业排污信息管理的程度,比较不同模型后发现,基于随机森林模型的指标预测表现最好.(2)企业排污信息管理程度越高,未来因篡改、漏报排污数据受处罚的概率越高,说明本文构建的指标在揭示企业排污信息管理行为方面具有重要的参考价值.(3)当企业披露的排放量刚好达到合规排放量时,排污信息管理指标显著更高,说明企业主要基于合规性动机进行排污信息管理.(4)常见的公司治理机制并不能很好抑制企业的排污信息管理行为,而强力的行政监管能起到有效抑制的作用,且在考察了行政监管的异质性处置效应后仍然显著.本文率先采用先进方法刻画了企业排污信息管理行为,既拓展了环境保护、机器学习与公司财务的交叉研究,也为监管部门如何治理企业排污信息管理现象、提高环境监管效率提供了重要的决策参考.
Pollutant Information Management in Chinese Listed Firms:Measurement and Governance
Environmental performance has become increasingly crucial for enterprises.At the 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2007,"building an ecological civilization"was identified as a new requirement for at-taining the goal of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects.At the 19th National Congress of the Commu-nist Party of China in 2017,General Secretary Xi Jinping reiterated the importance of environmental protection with the concept that lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets.Concurrently,the China Securities Regulatory Com-mission(CSRC)and the stock exchanges heightened requirements for listed firms to disclose environmental information.However,amid rising public attention to environmental issues,some firms manage,or even manipulate pollutant informa-tion.In February and August 2023,Huang Runqiu,Minister of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment,led a team to Henan,uncovering numerous violations,including falsified production records and manipulated monitoring data.The an-nouncement of these incidents has triggered notable market reactions.For example,on June 25,2018,a China Central Television(CCTV)program reported the issue of Dongjiang Environmental falsifying its pollution data.As a result,the company's stock price plummeted and hit the daily limit.This paper refers to the act of managing and manipulating pol-lutant data as"pollutant information management".In light of anecdotal evidence,this paper attempts to construct a mea-sure of pollutant information management,analyzes its underlying motivation,and investigates whether corporate gover-nance and administrative supervision can serve as effective monitoring mechanisms.Few existing studies,however,have directly discussed pollutant information management.Previous studies have fo-cused on the selective disclosure of environmental information(Cohen et al.,2015)and corporate greenwashing(Beers&Capellaro,1991;Delmas&Montes-Sancho,2010).Some studies have discussed the possibility of pollutant information management,but primarily from the perspective of theoretical models(Grahn,2020)or indirect inference(Greenstone et al.,2022;Karplus et al.,2018).To fill this void in the literature,this paper constructs a measure of pollutant information management of sulfur diox-ide in a Sample of Chinese listed firms from 2015 to 2021.The results show that the measure based on ordinary least squares,elastic net,random forest and neural network can all effectively capture the degree of pollutant information man-agement of listed firms.Specifically,higher values of these measures correlate with a higher likelihood of future regula-tory events related to pollutant data manipulation.In addition,the measure does not predict non-manipulative environmen-tal regulatory events,indicating that the measure specifically reflects the degree of pollutant information management rather than overall environmental performance.Compliance is a primary motivation for pollutant information manage-ment.Those firms whose disclosed pollutant levels just meet the compliance limit have significantly higher values of pol-lutant information management measures.Finally,conventional corporate governance mechanisms cannot effectively re-strain pollutant information management,but administrative supervision can play an effective role,and the pattern contin-ues to hold after we consider the heterogeneous treatment effects of staggered adoption of environmental inspections.The proposed measure remains valid in robustness checks,including using expanding-window estimation,adding predictive variables,constructing more complex predictive models,and excluding alternative explanations.Our paper makes several contributions.First,this paper takes the lead in scientifically measuring,analyzing and em-pirically testing the phenomenon of pollutant information management,which extends the literature on managers'discre-tion over environmental information disclosure(Cohen et al.,2015;Delmas&Montes-Sancho,2010;Lyon&Montgom-ery,2015;Grahn,2020;Greenstone et al.,2022).Second,this paper leverages machine learning techniques to predict the theoretical level of pollutant emissions for Chinese listed firms,which adds to the literature on the application of machine learning techniques in finance and accounting research(Gu et al.,2020;Bao et al.,2020;Brown et al.,2020).Third,this paper discusses the influence of corporate governance and administrative supervision on pollutant information manage-ment,providing new evidence for research on monitoring corporate environmental performance and offering fresh in-sights for government agencies into enhancing environmental regulatory efficiency.

Pollutant Information ManagementMachine LearningCorporate GovernanceEnvironmental Inspections

许年行、张桉笛、吴世农

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中国人民大学商学院,邮政编码:100872

中央财经大学会计学院,邮政编码:100081

厦门大学管理学院,邮政编码:361005

排污信息管理 机器学习 公司治理 环保督察巡视

2024

经济研究
中国社会科学院经济研究所

经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:4.821
ISSN:0577-9154
年,卷(期):2024.59(11)