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中国省域居民消费潜力:测度与时空特征分析

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基于居民消费能力、消费结构、消费环境三个维度构建我国居民消费潜力测度综合评价指标体系,采用 2012~2021 年的省级面板数据对居民消费潜力进行测度,并分析其时空差异特征.研究发现:我国省域居民消费潜力整体呈逐步上升态势,但具有明显的区域异质性;四大区域差异呈现"东部→中部→东北→西部"阶梯分布特征;从居民消费潜力的三个维度来看,居民消费环境的综合得分最高增长最快,其次是消费结构,消费能力综合得分最小增长最慢;我国地区居民消费潜力具有显著的正向全局空间相关性,但是局部空间集聚的类型存在明显差异.
Consumption Potential of China's Provincial Residents:Measurement and Spatial-Temporal Characteristics Analysis
Based on three dimensions of residents'consumption capacity,consumption struc-ture,and consumption environment,a comprehensive evaluation index system for the measure-ment of residents'consumption potential in China was constructed.Provincial panel data from 2012 to 2021 was used to measure the residents'consumption potential and analyze its spatial-temporal differences.The paper found that the overall consumption potential of provincial resi-dents in China is gradually increasing but exhibits significant regional heterogeneity.The four regions in China show a"eastern region→central region→northeast region→western region"step-like distribution pattern of differences.In terms of the three dimensions of residents'con-sumption potential,the comprehensive score of the consumption environment has the highest growth rate,followed by consumption structure,while the comprehensive score of consumption capacity has the smallest growth rate.Regional residents'consumption potential in China shows significant positive global spatial correlation,but there are significant differences in the types of local spatial clustering.

consumption potentialmeasurementspatial-temporal characteristics

胡美华

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福建师范大学经济学院

消费潜力 测度 时空特征

国家社科基金后期资助项目

23FJLB001

2024

经济研究参考
经济科学出版社

经济研究参考

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.53
ISSN:2095-3151
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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