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Policy uncertainty and land transaction prices in China

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Economic policy uncertainty has prominent effects on investment and output.Using unique transaction-level data in China,this paper explores the impact of economic policy uncertainty on land transaction premiums in China.On average,a 1%increase in the policy uncertainty level reduces land transaction premiums by 3.907 percentage points.The impact of policy uncertainty is more profound for firms with tighter financial constraints and land located in cities with lower rent-to-price ratios.The influence of policy uncertainty becomes weaker after the anti-corruption campaign in China,especially in provinces scrutinised by the central inspection teams,implying that improvements in the political environment alleviates the impact of policy uncertainty.

Policy uncertaintyland transactionprice premiumanti-corruption campaign

Xiaoyang Li、Mo Liang、Jidong Yang

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School of Accounting and Finance,The Hong Kong Polytechnic University,Hong Kong SAR,China

School of Finance,Renmin University of China,Beijing,China

School of Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing,China

National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaHumanities and Social Sciences Research Project of the Ministry of EducationFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities and the Research Funds of Renmin University of China

723031977180318822YJA79007623XNA011

2024

经济与政治研究(英文版)

经济与政治研究(英文版)

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.12(2)