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可调谐组合多项式模型与洛伦兹曲线最佳逼近

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采用有限n次普通代数多项式拟合收入分组数据洛伦兹曲线,往往面临着"端点值不闭合、拟合精度不高"两个难题.本文提出的"可调谐组合多项式"(tunable combined polynomial,简称TCP),为解决这两个难题提供了 一种路径选择.TCP模型具有"一主两辅"组合结构特征.主体结构是一个无常数项、以变量p为幂基的等比指数幂多项式.两个辅助构件是:在等比指数幂多项式尾端增加一项"特定最高次幂"pN;将各项幂函数乘以一个含有可调谐参数T的E(p)指数因子;最终构成一个以pnE(p)组合函数为回归元变量的多项式.TCP模型拟合分组数据采取"庄子分割法"搜索逼近机制:在进行多元线性回归过程中,本着均方误差最小化原则,在[0,128]区间搜索最佳调谐参数T整数值,使TCP模型各矿E(p)回归元与给定分组数据之间具有良好的谐调性,以实现对分组数据洛伦兹曲线的最佳逼近.对比实验显示,TCP模型拟合2013年全国研究生数学建模竞赛E题分组数据和美国CPS分组数据(1977、1990),其均方误差MSE均达到10-9数量级水平;拟合19个国家分组数据的均方误差MSE均为10-7~10-9数量级水平.TCP模型的拟合精度和对不同分组数据的适应性、稳健性,均优于对比模型.
Tunable Combined Polynomial Model and Optimal Approximation to Lorentz Curve
The Lorentz curve of income group data is fitted with finite n degree ordinary algebraic polynomial,which often faces two problems:The end value is not closed and the fitting accuracy is not high.The tunable combined polynomial(TCP)proposed in this paper provides a way to solve these two problems.TCP model has the characteristic of"one main and two auxiliary"combination structure.The principal structure is an exponential polynomial with an impermanent number and a variable p as a power base.The two auxiliary components are:Add a term"specific highest power"pN to the end of the polynomial with an equal exponential power;Multiply each power function by an E(p)exponential factor with a tunable parameter T;Finally,a polynomial with pnE(p)combined function as the regression variable is formed.TCP model fitting packet data adopts the"Zhuangzi segmentation method"search and approximation mechanism:In the process of multiple linear regression,the optimal tuning parameter T integer value is searched in the interval of[0,128]based on the principle of minimizing the mean square error,so that there is good harmony between the pnE(p)regressors of the TCP model and the given packet data,so as to achieve the best approximation to the Lorentz curve of the packet data.The comparison experiment shows that the TCP model fits the 2013 National Postgraduate Mathematical Contest in Modeling E question data and the CPS data of the United States(1977,1990),and the mean square error MSE reaches the level of 10-9.The mean square error MSE for fitting the grouped data of 19 countries is on the order of 10-7~10-9.The fitting accuracy,adaptability and robustness of TCP model to different packet data are superior to the comparison model.

tunable polynomialLorentz curveZhuangzi segmentationbest ap-proximation

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华中科技大学减贫与发展研究院,武汉 430074

可调谐多项式 洛伦兹曲线 庄子分割法 最佳逼近

2024

计量经济学报

计量经济学报

CSTPCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.4(2)
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