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金融发展驱动地区可再生能源增长:门槛效应与作用机制

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在二十大提出的碳达峰碳中和目标与能源转型目标协同发展总路线中,发展可再生能源是核心路径和必然选择,而金融市场中融资规模、融资效率等方面无不影响着地区可再生能源发展.鉴于此,本文选取2009-2018年中国31个省份(直辖市、自治区,未包含港澳台地区)的面板数据为样本,通过构建双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型,实证检验了金融资源对地区可再生能源发展的影响机制,并深入剖析了影响路径中的中介效应和门槛效应.实证结果发现:金融发展能够显著驱动地区可再生能源增长,但这种作用存在U型非线性门槛特征,只有当金融发展水平突破一定阈值后,才能表现出有效的驱动能力;金融发展对地区可再生能源增长的影响存在显著的区域异质性,其中西部最强,东部次之,中部最弱;融资规模和技术创新在金融发展与地区可再生能源增长之间发挥完全中介效应.本文研究结论为中国实现"双碳"目标、推进区域可再生能源发展、构建绿色金融体系提供了理论依据和政策参考,具有重要的理论和现实价值.
Financial Development Driving Regional Renewable Energy Growth:Threshold Effect and Mechanism
In the general line of coordinated development between the goal of car-bon peak carbon neutrality and the goal of energy transformation proposed by the 20th National Congress,the development of renewable energy is the core path and inevitable choice,and the financing scale and financing efficiency in the financial mar-ket all affect the development of regional renewable energy.In view of this,this paper selected the panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 2009 to 2018 as samples,and empirically tested the impact mechanism of financial resources on regional renewable energy development by constructing two-way fixed effect models,intermediary effect models and threshold effect models,and thoroughly analyzed the intermediary effect and threshold effect in the impact path.The empirical results show that:Financial development can significantly drive the growth of regional re-newable energy,but this effect has a U-shaped nonlinear threshold feature,only when the financial development level exceeds a certain threshold,can it show an effective driving ability;the influence of financial development on the growth of renewable energy in the region has significant regional heterogeneity,in which the west is the strongest,the east is the second,and the central is the weakest.Financing scale and technological innovation play a full mediating effect between financial development and regional renewable energy growth.The research conclusions of this paper provide theoretical basis and policy reference for China to achieve the goal of"double carbon",promote the development of regional renewable energy,and build a green financial system,which has important theoretical and practical value.

financial developmentrenewable energypanel datamediating effectthreshold effect

陈庭强、王豪杰、余乐安

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南京工业大学经济与管理学院,南京 211816

中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京 100190

四川大学商学院,成都 610065

金融发展 可再生能源 面板数据 中介效应 门槛效应

国家社会科学基金重大项目

22&ZD122

2024

计量经济学报

计量经济学报

CSTPCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.4(2)
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