首页|AH股溢价能影响股票未来收益率吗?

AH股溢价能影响股票未来收益率吗?

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通过交叉上市资产来分析制度差异与定价机制的关系,对于推进资本市场深化改革、优化资源配置功能,具有重要的理论和现实意义.基于近20年147支内地、香港同时上市股票的月度数据,本文的实证结果发现:在控制主要影响因素后,AH股溢价能负向显著影响A股未来收益率,但不能显著影响H股的未来收益率;AH股溢价对A股未来收益率的影响主要集中在套利限制较小的个股中,且AH股溢价越高的股票,下月融券卖出余额越多.这些结果表明,因制度与投资者结构的差异,A股有比H股更大的波动且更易形成定价错误,而AH股溢价的定价能力源于有套利者针对A股中的错误定价进行反向交易.本文首次将AH股溢价作为一个定价因子考虑,并提供了其定价能力的证据和机制解释,拓展了对交叉上市股票定价机理的理解.
Can AH Premium Affect Stock Future Return?
To analyze the relation between institutional difference and pricing mech-anism by cross-listed asset is of significant theoretical and practical value for deep-ening capital market reform and optimizing resource allocation.Based on monthly data from 147 Chinese mainland and Hong Kong dual-listed stocks over the past 20 years,our empirical results reveal that,after controlling for major influencing factors,the AH premium has a significantly negative impact on future returns of A-shares but does not significantly impact the future returns of H-shares.The impact of the AH premium on the future returns of A-shares is mainly concentrated in stocks with fewer arbitrage restrictions,and stocks with higher AH premiums have higher short-selling balances in the following month.These results indicate that due to differences in institutions and investor structures,A-shares experience greater volatility and are more prone to pricing errors compared to H-shares,and the pricing ability of the AH premium stems from arbitrageurs engaging in reverse trading against the mispricing in A-shares.This study,for the first time,considers the AH premium as a pricing factor and provides evidence and mechanisms for its pricing ability,expanding the understanding of the pricing mechanism of cross-listed stocks.

AH premiumstock returnlimits of arbitragepricing efficiency

万谍、何奕扬

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浙江工商大学金融学院,杭州 310018

厦门大学管理学院,厦门 361005

AH股溢价 股票收益 套利限制 定价效率

浙江省哲学社会科学基金国家社会科学基金浙江省自然科学基金

23NDJC353YB21BJY265LY21G010001

2024

计量经济学报

计量经济学报

CSTPCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.4(2)
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