首页|数字金融、家庭债务与金融整治——基于P2P网贷风险专项整治的实证研究

数字金融、家庭债务与金融整治——基于P2P网贷风险专项整治的实证研究

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基于中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)2013年、2015年、2017年和2019年四期数据,构建Probit模型和固定效应模型分析数字金融对家庭债务的影响,并基于近年来金融整治的一个典型样本——P2P网贷风险专项整治,构建强度DID模型探讨实行金融整治政策能否有效降低家庭债务.研究发现:(1)数字金融的使用显著提高了家庭负债概率和债务水平;(2)金融整治之后,使用数字金融家庭的债务水平出现显著降低;(3)异质性分析显示,金融整治政策对使用数字金融的家庭的债务缓解作用,在中西部地区、贫困家庭和农村家庭中更为显著,在我国打赢脱贫攻坚战和实施乡村振兴战略进程中发挥了有益作用.研究结论对我国规范发展数字金融、防范金融风险、巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接等方面有着重要的政策启示.
Digital Finance,Household Debt and Financial Remediation——An Empirical Study Based on the Special Remediation of P2P Online Loan Risks
Based on the data from four periods of China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)in 2013,2015,2017 and 2019,we constructed the Probit model and fixed-effects model to analyze the impact of digital finance on household debt,and constructed the intensity DID model to explore whether the implementation of financial remedia-tion policies can effectively reduce household debt based on the special remediation of the risk of P2P online lending,which has been a typical sample of financial remediation in recent years.It is found that:first,the use of digital fi-nance significantly increased the probability of household indebtedness and the level of debt;second,after financial remediation,the level of debt of households using digital finance appeared to be significantly lower;third,Heteroge-neity analysis shows that the debt-relieving effect of financial remediation policies on households using digital finance is more pronounced in the central and western regions,among poor and rural households,and plays a useful role in Chi-na's process of winning the battle against poverty and implementing the rural revitalization strategy.The conclusions of the study have important policy implications for China's standardized development of digital finance,the prevention of financial risks,and the consolidation and expansion of the results of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization in an ef-fective manner.

digital financehousehold debtfinancial renovationpoverty alleviationrural revitalization

马彧菲、王媛媛、熊德平

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云南财经大学金融学院,云南 昆明 650221

数字金融 家庭债务 金融整治 脱贫攻坚 乡村振兴

国家自然科学基金面上项目云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目

718731182023J0673

2024

金融发展研究
山东省金融学会

金融发展研究

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.55
ISSN:1674-2265
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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