首页|出口产品质量与技术性贸易壁垒——理论及来自中国的经验证据

出口产品质量与技术性贸易壁垒——理论及来自中国的经验证据

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将产品质量改进引入基于博弈论的技术性贸易壁垒成因,利用2002-2020年产品层面的数据,从实证层面考察国外技术性贸易壁垒的影响因素,特别分析中国出口产品质量的升级是否会影响国外技术性贸易壁垒决策.研究发现,从总体上来看,中国出口产品质量升级提升了中国遭遇的技术性贸易壁垒,并随着从中国进口额占据总进口额的比重增大这种现象而加剧,可见中国制造的崛起遭到了歧视性的贸易壁垒.该结论在替换被解释变量指标、考虑内生性问题、更换不同占比的样本等条件下依旧稳健.异质性检验发现,中国出口产品质量升级与中国遭遇的技术性贸易壁垒的关系在不同年份、不同国家和不同产品上有差异.为实现中国产品更好走出去的愿景,政策建议如下:一是密切关注主要伙伴国的技术性贸易壁垒;二是构建全方位、多层次的技术性贸易壁垒处理机制;三是推动建立统一、合理的国际标准体系;四是联合其他国家一起对不公平、不合理地设置技术性贸易壁垒的行为进行抗争.
Export Product Quality and Technical Trade Barriers:Theoretical and Empirical Evidence from China
Technical trade barriers(TBTs)have been widely utilized in international trade and become an important trade measure for importing countries to restrict foreign products from entering their domestic markets.TBTs initiated by foreign countries have caused significant losses to Chinese enterprises.Although it appears that the number of TBTs worldwide is increasing overall,different types of economies have different focuses when establishing TBTs,and the trends for setting up TBTs for different industries and products are not the same.This paper introduces product quality improvement into the analysis of TBTs based on the game theory.Using data at the product level from 2002 to 2020 and employing fixed effects Poisson and negative binomial models,it empirically examines the factors influencing foreign TBTs,with particular attention to the impact of the upgrade of China's export product quality on foreign TBT decision-making.The baseline regression results indicate that overall,the upgrade of China's export product quality has increased the technical trade barriers encountered by China.Sub-sample regression results based on the proportion of China's import value in the total import value show that the impact of the upgrade of China's export product quality on the technical trade barriers encountered by China intensifies as the proportion of China's import value in the total import value increases,indicating that the rise of Made in China has faced discriminatory trade barriers.In the endogeneity test,this paper uses the average product quality of China's exports to all countries in the year of the case occurrence and the bilateral liner shipping connectivity index between China and the importing country as instrumental variables,and the empirical results are consistent with expectations.In the robustness test,special trade concerns(STCs)are used as a substitute indicator,and the results show that the export product quality of China still significantly increases technical trade barriers.In the heterogeneity analysis,this paper distinguishes different periods,country samples,and product samples.It is found that before the global financial crisis in 2008,the improvement of China's product quality reduced the technical trade barriers,while after the crisis,it significantly increased.In the analysis of country samples,in developing economies such as Brazil,the improvement of China's product quality significantly increases the technical trade barriers,while in developed economies such as the United States,although the impact exists,it is not significant.The analysis of product samples shows that the improvement of manufacturing product quality significantly increases the technical trade barriers,especially in low and medium-low technology industries.Based on the above findings,this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations.First,China should closely monitor the technical trade barriers of major trading partners.It should continue to follow up on the technical trade measures of major trading countries,record and update relevant information databases timely,and focus on technical trade measures with significant impact.Second,China should build a comprehensive and multi-level mechanism for handling technical trade barriers.Focusing on the whole process from early warning to handling,and to tracking,and the multi-subject participation covering enterprises,industry associations,and the government,it should continuously improve the mechanism for handling technical trade barriers.Third,China should promote the establishment of a unified and reasonable international standard system.As a major trading country and a contributor to global economic and trade governance,China should strive to promote the formulation and improvement of fair and reasonable international economic and trade rules,improve relevant agreements of the WTO,and combine with the work at the level of regional trade agreements to promote bilateral negotiations with major countries.Fourth,China should jointly resist unfair technical trade barriers with other countries.It should focus on joining forces to resist unfair technical trade barriers and strengthen exchanges and cooperation with countries with common interests.

product qualitytechnical trade barriersinternational standards systemdiscriminatory trade barriers

王孝松、王艳艳

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中国人民大学经济学院

产品质量 技术性贸易壁垒 国际标准体系 歧视性贸易壁垒

国家自然科学基金重点项目国家社会科学基金

7233300423VRC012

2024

暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)
暨南大学

暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.69
ISSN:1000-5072
年,卷(期):2024.46(5)
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