金融经济2024,Issue(1) :51-65.

"一枝独秀"还是"并驾齐驱"?——基于北京养老金三支柱体系的研究

"One of the best"or"hand in hand"?A Study Based on the Three-Pillar System of Pension in Beijing

李瀚林 高建伟 朱志伟 高芳杰
金融经济2024,Issue(1) :51-65.

"一枝独秀"还是"并驾齐驱"?——基于北京养老金三支柱体系的研究

"One of the best"or"hand in hand"?A Study Based on the Three-Pillar System of Pension in Beijing

李瀚林 1高建伟 1朱志伟 1高芳杰1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院
  • 折叠

摘要

我国人口老龄化问题日益加剧,基本养老金即将面临给付危机,为此我国提出要发展多层次、多支柱的养老保障体系.为了检验我国多支柱养老金体系是否能够保障职工退休后的生活水平,本文以延迟退休为研究背景,以北京城镇职工为研究对象,结合 2022 年 11 月出台的个人养老金账户,构建多支柱养老金财富和替代率的精算模型.研究发现,适度延迟退休年龄能够提高职工的养老金财富和替代率.敏感性分析发现,养老金财富和替代率对名义工资增长率的变动最为敏感.其中,第一支柱对养老金财富和替代率的贡献最大,第二、第三支柱起到补充作用.建议在采取灵活的延迟退休政策的基础上,稳定推进第一、第二支柱,加强完善个人养老金制度.

Abstract

The problem of aging population in China is intensifying,and the basic pension is about to face a payment crisis,so China proposes to develop a multi-level and multi-pillar old-age security system.In order to test whether China's multi-pillar pension system can guarantee the living standard of employees after retirement,this paper takes delayed retirement as the research background,takes urban workers in Beijing as the research object,and combines the personal pension accounts introduced in November 2022 to construct an actuarial model of multi-pillar pension wealth and replacement rate.The results show that a moderate delay in the retirement age can improve the pension wealth and replacement rate of employees.The sensitivity analysis found that pension wealth and replacement rate were the most sensitive to changes in nominal wage growth rates.Among them,the first pillar contributes the most to pension wealth and re-placement rate,and the second and third pillars play a complementary role.It is suggested that on the basis of adopting a flexible delayed retirement policy,the first and second pillars should be steadily promoted,and the personal pension system should be strengthened and improved.

关键词

延迟退休/多支柱/养老金财富/替代率/养老保障/个人养老金制度

Key words

Delayed retirement/Multi-pillar/Pension wealth/Replacement rate/Pension security/Personal pension system

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(72071076)

出版年

2024
金融经济
湖南省金融学会

金融经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.047
ISSN:1007-0753
参考文献量19
段落导航相关论文