首页|气候变化风险溢价研究

气候变化风险溢价研究

扫码查看
气候变化风险是一类新型的宏观经济风险,必然会对资产价格形成影响,并产生风险溢价。为了规避气候变化所带来的风险和不确定性,人类社会做出比最优减排水平更大的减缓努力是理性的,并且可能愿意支付一个高于最优减排路径上的碳社会总成本(即气候变化总损失)的价格,以降低气候变化风险。本文将社会愿意支付的最大成本和在最优减排水平时的碳社会总成本之间的差额称为气候变化风险溢价。从碳社会总成本和支付意愿的估计中,发现人类社会作为一个整体而言愿意支付一个高于碳社会总成本的风险溢价来规避照常经营(BAU)情形下所导致的气候变化风险。
Climate change is a new kind of macroeconomic risk and will impact asset pricing. Risk and uncertainty lie at the heart of climate change analysis. Given that economic agents are averse both to risk and to uncertainty, they may rationally wish to spend more than the optimal total social cost of carbon. To that extent, therefore, a conventional cost-benefit calculation should be amended to allow for the payment of a risk premium over and above the total social cost of carbon. The paper defines the difference between total social cost of carbon and the society's willingness to pay as a simple measure of climate change risk premium and calculates the premium.

climate changerisk premium

谢平、段兵

展开 >

中国投资有限责任公司,北京100010

中国农业银行,北京100005

气候变化 风险溢价

2010

金融研究
中国金融学会

金融研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.047
ISSN:1002-7246
年,卷(期):2010.(8)
  • 4
  • 26