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中国地方政府外资鼓励政策的同群效应

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本文构建涵盖地方政府与内外资企业的博弈模型,分析表明,地方政府外资鼓励政策存在同群效应(地方政府模仿其他地区外资鼓励政策),但当外资鼓励政策成本过高时,地方政府会退出外资鼓励政策竞争.基于本文构建的1978-2022年中国外资政策数据集,研究发现:(1)地方政府外资鼓励政策呈现同群效应,其所瞄准的同群包括地理邻近、经济发展相近以及产业结构相似的其他地区;(2)尽管存在部分地方政府盲目模仿其他地区外资鼓励政策的现象,但开放经验丰富、市场化程度高的地区,以及地方领导受教育程度高、任职经历丰富的地区,其外资鼓励政策相对理性;(3)地区间外资鼓励政策竞争,既有政策数量竞争也有政策质量竞争,且中西部地区最终会选择退出外资鼓励政策竞争,东部地区会强化外资鼓励政策竞争.本文从外资鼓励政策的同群效应视角,解释了中国地方政府外资鼓励政策的竞争关系、影响因素和均衡结果.
Peer Effects in IFDI Encouraging Policies of Chinese Local Governments
Expanding high-level opening up through policy design is a major issue in China's open economic governance.As an important tool for attracting and utilizing foreign direct investment(FDI),FDI policy is an important means for the government to play the"visible hand"to achieve a high level of opening up.However,Some local governments have blindly imitated other local governments'FDI encouraging policies,ignoring the actual situation of the local economies,which has led to a series of economic distortions,such as local protection,market segmentation,and repeated construction.Why do local governments have such a strong incentive to formulate FDI encouraging policies?And what kind of competition pattern and impact consequences does local governments'FDI encouraging policies present in the course of more than 40 years of FDI attraction?In view of this,this paper,based on a long-term and dynamic perspective,examines the peer effect of Chinese prefecture-level municipal governments'FDI encouraging policies by constructing a database of China's FDI policies from 1978 to 2022,and systematically analyses the evolution pattern of local government's FDI policies in China,particularly the influencing factors and equilibrium outcomes of the competition of FDI encouraging policies.Specifically,this paper first constructs a game model covering local governments with domestic and foreign-funded enterprises.Theoretically,it analyses the peer effect of local governments in the existence of FDI encouraging policy;and,when the cost of FDI encouraging policy is too high,local governments will eventually withdraw from the FDI encouraging policy competition in the long term.Secondly,based on the dataset of China's FDI policies from 1978 to 2022 constructed in this paper,the empirical study finds that:(1)China's prefectural-level municipal governments introduce FDI encouraging policies not entirely based on their own conditions,but imitate other regions,and there exists a significant peer effect in prefectural-level municipal governments'FDI encouraging policies.(2)The"peer"targeted by the competition of FDI encouraging policies of prefecture-level municipal governments includes not only prefecture-level municipalities in the same province with"yardstick competition",but also prefecture-level municipalities with similar geographic location,similar level of economic development and similar industrial structure.(3)Although there is blind imitation in the FDI encouraging policies of some local governments,the FDI encouraging policies of regions with rich experience in opening up and high degree of marketisation,as well as those regions with highly educated local leaders with rich working experience,are relatively independent.(4)Inter-regional competition inFDI incentives exists in both policy quantity and policy quality,and the central and western regions will eventually choose to withdraw from the competition in FDI incentives,while the eastern regions will strengthen the competition in FDI incentives.Compared with the existing literature,the contribution of this paper lies in the following:Firstly,this paper is the first to study the"peer competition effect"of local governments in China in terms of the quantity and quality of FDI incentives from the perspectives of theoretical analyses and empirical tests.By answering the questions of why the peer effect occurs in the FDI incentives of local governments,who they are imitating in their policy decisions,and how policy peer competition affects local governments'policy learning and shapes their FDI policies,this study reveals the evolutionary law of China's FDI policies,the dynamics and equilibrium results of policy competition,which is conducive to clarifying the directions and paths of actively and effectively utilizing FDI,and also provides useful policy insights for optimizing the FDI policies.In addition,this study reveals that the"self-interested"rational response of local governments leads to collective irrational results,which provides an important reference for understanding the behavior of local governments and constructing a business environment of fair competition between domestic and foreign capital.Secondly,from the theoretical level,the current research on the peer effect mostly focuses on corporate behavior and individual or family behavior.Based on the perspective of local government policy interaction,this paper extends the study of peer effect to international direct investment research.By analyzing the"peer effect"of Chinese local governments'FDI encouraging policies,this paper reveals the impact of local government policy competition on the evolution of FDI policies,which not only enriches the application scope of the peer effect theory,but also supplements the literature on the driving factors of the formulation and change of FDI policies.Third,in terms of research samples,existing studies on FDI policy often cover only a single type of FDI policy,involve a short period of time,and fail to provide a complete picture of the structural characteristics of FDI policy,its evolutionary pattern,and its long-term policy effects.This paper compiles information on China's FDI policy from 1978 to 2022 and constructs a FDI policy database covering the central level,provincial level and prefecture level.this is one of the most comprehensive databases for studying China's FDI policies with a complete time span.

Foreign Direct InvestmentFDI PoliciesPeer EffectInstitutional Openness

田素华、谢煜、沈红波

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复旦大学经济学院,上海 200433

外商直接投资 外资鼓励政策 同群效应 制度型开放

2024

金融研究
中国金融学会

金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.047
ISSN:1002-7246
年,卷(期):2024.(5)