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新能源上网电价与利润经济模型研究

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在碳达峰、碳中和战略目标要求下,电力系统面临低碳转型的挑战.风电、光伏等波动性可再生电力将会快速发展,平价上网时代,新能源发电项目将会取消各种补贴,使得很多新能源项目的开发、运营经济性受到其所处区域燃煤标杆上网电价、非技术性成本、发电利用小数、本体发电成本等的影响.文章介绍了上网电价的定价机制,分析了新能源发电成本,建立了新能源上网电价与利润经济模型,这对于新能源发电企业的经营决策、风险评估、政策制订及行业发展趋势预测等方面具有重要意义,有助于推动新能源产业的健康、可持续发展.
Research on the Economic Model of New Energy Feed-in Electricity Price and Profit
Under the requirements of carbon peak and carbon neutrality strategies,the power system is facing the challenge of low-carbon transformation.Fluctuating renewable electricity such as wind power and photovoltaics will develop rapidly.In the era of grid parity,various subsidies for new energy generation projects will be cancelled,which will affect the economic development and operation of many new energy projects due to factors such as benchmark grid electricity prices for coal-fired power in their respective regions,non-technical costs,utilization of small amounts of power generation,and actual power generation costs.The article introduces the pricing mechanism of grid connected electricity prices,analyzes the cost of new energy generation,and establishes an economic model of new energy grid connected electricity prices and profits.This is of great significance for the business decision-making,risk assessment,policy formulation,and industry development trend prediction of new energy generation enterprises,and helps promote the healthy and sustainable development of the new energy industry.

double carbonpower systemfeed-in tariffeconomic modelnew energy

林建成、宋卿尧、王雷、吕雪峰

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深能北方能源控股有限公司,北京 100032

华北电力大学,北京 102206

双碳 电力系统 上网电价 经济模型 新能源

2024

今日自动化

今日自动化

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.(10)