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光伏功率统计模型预测方法研究

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光伏发电作为可再生能源的重要组成部分,其功率预测对于电力系统的稳定运行、能源调度及市场管理具有重要意义.统计模型作为光伏功率预测的一种常用方法,因其简单易行、依赖数据少而备受关注.文章探讨了光伏功率统计模型预测方法,分析了其在现实预测中的挑战,并提出了相应的改进策略,以期推动光伏功率预测技术的发展与应用.
Research on the Forecasting Method of Photovoltaic Power Statistical Model
As an important component of renewable energy,photovoltaic power generation has significant implications for the stable operation of the power system,energy scheduling,and market management through power forecasting.Statistical models,as a commonly used method for predicting photovoltaic power,have attracted much attention due to their simplicity and low dependence on data.The article explores the prediction methods of photovoltaic power statistical models,analyzes their challenges in practical prediction,and proposes corresponding improvement strategies to promote the development and application of photovoltaic power prediction technology.

PV power predictionstatistical modeldata qualityprediction accuracy

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大唐贵州发电有限公司新能源分公司,贵州 贵阳 550007

光伏功率预测 统计模型 数据质量 预测精度

2024

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今日自动化

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.(11)