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基于风险传导BN模型的建筑施工安全预警仿真

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为了实现建筑施工安全有效预警,提出多因素耦合的风险因素检测预警方法.通过问卷调查法收集风险指标,通过龙巴赫Alpha系数与巴特利特球形度指标相结合的方法建立风险评价体系.以建筑施工现场的风险传导特征为基础,运用DEMATEL方法分析影响建筑施工安全的多因素间耦合关系,并建立风险传导BN模型,通过对风险级别的分析判定,实现多因素耦合的建筑施工安全预警,降低事故发生概率.实验结果表明,所提方法在建筑施工安全预警中表现出良好的预警精度,在多因素耦合的情况下,其可以准确获得致使事故发生的主要因素.
Simulation of Building Construction Safety Warning Based on Risk Conduction BN Model
In order to achieve effective and safe construction warning,this paper proposed a multi-factor coupling risk detection and warning method.At first,a questionnaire survey was used to collect risk indicators,and then a risk assessment system was constructed by combining the Cronbach's alpha coefficient and Bartlett sphericity index.Based on the risk conduction characteristics of the construction site,DEMATEL method was adopted to analyze the interde-pendence among multiple factors affecting the construction safety,and thus to build a risk conduction BN model.Through the analysis of risk levels,the warning for multi-factor coupling construction was achieved,thus reducing the probability of accidents occurring.Experimental results show that the proposed method exhibits high warning accuracy in construction warning.Under the condition of multi-factor coupling,the method can accurately obtain the main fac-tors leading to accidents.

Questionnaire surveyCronbach's alpha coefficientRisk conduction BN modelBuilding constructionEarly warning method

徐艳召、郭靳时

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长春工业大学人文信息学院,吉林 长春 130122

吉林建筑大学土木工程学院,吉林 长春 130119

问卷调查法 龙巴赫系数 风险传导模型 建筑施工 预警方法

吉林省教育厅项目

JJKH20191337SZ

2024

计算机仿真
中国航天科工集团公司第十七研究所

计算机仿真

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.518
ISSN:1006-9348
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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