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病险水库大坝风险局部离群预警方法仿真

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水库大坝监测数据中异常点可能揭示局部风险,若未准确识别并响应,则会忽视潜在风险,影响预警精度,为了确保可以精准预警病险水库大坝风险,提出一种基于局部离群系数的病险水库大坝风险预警方法。通过数字高程模型提取水库大坝地形与水文参数,结合不同参数进行风险评估,根据风险评估结果,将水库大坝区域划分为不同的风险等级,实现病险水库大坝风险区域划分。采用偏最小二乘法对地形参数与水文参数之间的关联关系展开分析,获取正交特征空间,针对特征空间中的监测数据,引入局部离群系数判断数据异常点,根据异常数据判断结果实现病险水库大坝风险预警。实验结果表明,所提方法可以有效提升病险水库大坝风险预警结果的准确性,对于确保大坝安全具有重要意义。
Simulation of Local Outlier Warning Method for Dam Risks in Dangerous Reservoirs
The anomalies in the monitoring data of reservoir dams may reveal localized risks,and if they are not accurately identified and responded to,the potential risks will be neglected,affecting the warning accuracy.In order to ensure that the risk of dams at risk can be accurately early warned,a method of early warning of the risk of dams at risk based on the localized coefficients of the outliers is proposed.The topographic and hydrological parameters of the dam are extracted from the digital elevation model,and the risk assessment is carried out by combining different pa-rameters.According to the results of the risk assessment,the area of the dam is divided into different risk levels to re-alize the division of the risk area of the dam at risk.The partial least squares method is used to analyze the correlation between topographic parameters and hydrological parameters,obtain the orthogonal feature space,introduce the local outlier coefficients to judge the data anomalies in the monitoring data in the feature space,and realize the risk warning of dams in reservoirs at risk according to the results of the anomalous data judgment.The experimental results show that the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy of the risk warning results of dams at risk,which is of great significance to ensure the safety of dams.

Local outlier coefficientDangerous reservoir damsRisk warningDigital elevation modelingPartial least squares

徐军杨、魏军、雷春盛、鲍晓明

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杭州华辰电力控制工程有限公司,浙江 杭州 311100

局部离群系数 病险水库大坝 风险预警 数字高程模型 偏最小二乘法

2024

计算机仿真
中国航天科工集团公司第十七研究所

计算机仿真

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.518
ISSN:1006-9348
年,卷(期):2024.41(11)