计算机工程与设计2024,Vol.45Issue(12) :3615-3621.DOI:10.16208/j.issn1000-7024.2024.12.013

可解释性分层神经模糊网络的股票价格预测算法

Interpretable hierarchical ANFIS for stock price prediction algorithm

廖宏昊 胡峰 邓维斌
计算机工程与设计2024,Vol.45Issue(12) :3615-3621.DOI:10.16208/j.issn1000-7024.2024.12.013

可解释性分层神经模糊网络的股票价格预测算法

Interpretable hierarchical ANFIS for stock price prediction algorithm

廖宏昊 1胡峰 1邓维斌1
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作者信息

  • 1. 重庆邮电大学计算机科学与技术学院,重庆 400065
  • 折叠

摘要

针对现有的股票价格预测模型难以兼顾精度与可解释性的问题,提出一种基于分层神经模糊网络的股票价格预测模型.提出一种结合注意力机制的自适应神经模糊网络单元(ANFIS-A),以此单元构建分层自适应神经模糊网络;结合二进制灰狼优化算法(BGWO),提出一种特征子集选择算法;提出一种规则消除的递归算法,进一步减少规则数量,提高规则的可解释性.实验结果表明,该模型在预测股票价格方面具有较高的准确性和可解释性.

Abstract

In response to the challenges of balancing accuracy and interpretability in existing stock price prediction models,a hiera-rchical neural fuzzy network model for stock price prediction was proposed.An adaptive neural fuzzy network unit incorporating an attention mechanism(ANFIS-A)was introduced,and a hierarchical adaptive neural fuzzy network was constructed using these units.A feature subset selection algorithm was proposed by combining the binary grey wolf optimization algorithm(BG-WO).A recursive rule elimination algorithm was introduced to further reduce the number of rules and enhance their interpreta-bility.Experimental results demonstrate that this model exhibits high accuracy and interpretability in stock price prediction.

关键词

灰狼优化算法/层次自适应模糊神经网络/注意力机制/股票价格预测/可解释性/金融时间序列/规则消除

Key words

grey wolf optimization algorithm/hierarchical adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(H-AHFIS)/attention mecha-nism/stock price prediction/interpretability/financial time series/rule elimination

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出版年

2024
计算机工程与设计
中国航天科工集团二院706所

计算机工程与设计

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.617
ISSN:1000-7024
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