Research on Measurement and Evaluation of Grain Production Coordination
Constructing a coordination evaluation index system for grain production based on the theory of coordination,the coordination scores of grain production are used to analyze the coordination of grain production at the national and provincial levels.The grey prediction method is applied to forecast the coordination of grain production for the next 10 years.The study finds that the theory of coordination is highly applicable in the field of grain production,providing a theoretical basis for evaluating the coordination of grain production and expanding the application scope of the theory of coordination.The coordination of China's grain production showed a steady upward trend from 2011 to 2021,but the increase was lower than expected.Nationally,the coordination of grain production shows a clear regional clustering characteristic.According to the grey prediction results,the coordination of China's grain production will continue to improve steadily over the next 10 years,and by 2031,grain production is expected to enter a highly coordinated state.Further research finds that the coordination of China's grain production is limited by the inherent pattern of grain production,the unclear effects of policies,and the poor communication of policies in some areas,leading to less than expected development in coordination.Production efficiency is the main source of pressure on the coordination of grain production,resource endowment is the main object of regulation,and social development plays an important role in promoting it.
万方数据
维普
