首页|数字经济、消费提振与实体经济发展——兼论消费异质与人口规模的门槛效应

数字经济、消费提振与实体经济发展——兼论消费异质与人口规模的门槛效应

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选取2013-2021年我国30个省级面板数据,从消费提振视角实证分析数字经济对实体经济发展的影响,并考察消费异质性与人口规模的门槛效应。结果表明,数字经济对实体经济发展具有显著的正向驱动作用,且这一影响在中西部地区更显著。机制检验表明,数字经济可以通过提振居民消费驱动实体经济发展。消费异质性分析发现,在消费城乡异质中,数字经济更能促进农村居民消费水平提升;在消费类型异质中,数字经济对居民生存型消费表现出显著的正向提振作用。拓展性研究发现,在地区人口规模发展的不同阶段,数字经济对实体经济的正向促进效应在低人口规模时显著、高人口规模时不显著。
Digital Economy,Consumption Boosting and Real Economic Development:With an Analysis of Consumption Heterogeneity and the Threshold Effect of Population Size
Using the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2021,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of digital economy on the development of real economy from the perspective of consumption boost,and examines the threshold effect of consump-tion heterogeneity and population size.The results show that the digital economy has a significantly positive driving effect on the develop-ment of the real economy,and this effect is stronger in the central and western regions.The mechanism test shows that the digital economy can drive the development of real economy by boosting household consumption.However,further analysis of consumption heterogeneity shows that in the urban-rural heterogeneity,digital economy can better promote the consumption level of rural residents.A-mong the heterogeneous consumption types,the digital economy has a significantly positive boost to the subsistence consumption of residents.The extended research finds that in different stages of regional population size,the positive promotion effect of digital economy on the real economy is significant at low population size,but not significant at high population size.

Digital economyReal economyConsumption boostResidents'consumptionPopulation size

何枭吟、陈汉驰、焦成焕

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郑州大学商学院,河南郑州 450001

上海大学马克思主义学院,上海 200444

数字经济 实体经济 消费提振 居民消费 人口规模

2025

技术经济与管理研究
山西省人民政府发展研究中心

技术经济与管理研究

北大核心
影响因子:0.733
ISSN:1004-292X
年,卷(期):2025.(1)