Analysis of a Prediction Model for the Long-term Performance of Asphalt Pavement
The long-term performance degradation law of asphalt pavement should be predicted to achieve a reasonable allocation of maintenance and repair funds,estimate future maintenance and repair needs,determine appropriate maintenance measures,and their implementation timing.This paper comprehensively reviews the research progress of long-term performance prediction models for asphalt pavement and analyzes in detail the basic principles,advantages,and disadvantages of regression prediction models,uncertainty method prediction models,machine learning models,and their application in practical engineering.Finally,two case studies were conducted to predict the performance of asphalt pavement.Finally,future research directions and suggestions are proposed to provide useful references for asphalt pavement maintenance management.
asphalt pavementlong-term performanceregression prediction modeluncertainty prediction modelmachine learning predictive model