首页|老年2型糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱风险的列线图预测模型构建

老年2型糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱风险的列线图预测模型构建

扫码查看
目的 分析老年2型糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱的影响因素,并构建列线图预测模型。方法 选取370例老年2型糖尿病患者作为研究对象,其中建模组纳入284例,验证组纳入86例。采用(OF-8)量表进行口腔衰弱筛查,得分≥4分为口腔衰弱筛查阳性。通过自制调查问卷收集2组患者一般资料。采用多因素Logistic回归分析法分析2型糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱的影响因素,并构建预测模型。采用Homser-Lemeshow拟合优度检验和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线验证模型的拟合优度及预测效能。结果 老年2型糖尿病患者中口腔衰弱的发生率为45。4%(129/284)。年龄、体质量指数(BMI)、四肢骨骼肌质量指数(ASMI)、吸烟、月收入、主观咀嚼困难是老年糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱的影响因素(P<0。05)。内部、外部验证的 ROC 曲线下面积分别为 0。887(95%CI:0。847~0。925)、0。839(95%CI:0。755~0。923)。Homser-Lemeshow 检验显示x2=4。852,P=0。773,列线图模型的拟合优度良好。结论 年龄、ASMI、BMI、吸烟、月收入、主观咀嚼困难是老年糖尿病患者发生口腔衰弱的影响因素,基于上述影响因素构建的列线图预测模型的效能较好。
Construction of nomogram prediction model for the risk of oral frailty in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of oral frailty in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods A total of 370 elderly patients with type 2 diabetes were selected as the research subjects,including 284 patients in the modeling group and 86 patients in the validation group.The Oral Frailty Index-8(OF-8)Scale was used for o-ral frailty screening,and a score of ≥4 was considered positive for oral frailty.General information of the two groups was collected through a self-made questionnaire.Multivariate Logistic regression analy-sis was used to analyze the influencing factors of oral frailty in patients with type 2 diabetes,and no-mogram model was constructed.The goodness-of-fit and predictive performance of the model were ver-ified using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and the receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC).Results The incidence of oral frailty among elderly patients with type 2 diabetes was 45.4%(129/284).Age,body mass index(BMI),appendicular skeletal muscle mass index(ASMI),smoking,monthly income and subjective chewing difficulty were identified as influencing factors for oral frailty in elderly diabetic patients(P<0.05).The areas under the ROC for internal and external validation were 0.887(95%CI,0.847 to 0.925)and 0.839(95%CI,0.755 to 0.923),respectively.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that x2=4.852,P=0.773,indicating good goodness-of-fit for the nomogram model.Conclusion Age,ASMI,BMI,smoking,monthly income and subjective chewing difficulty are influencing factors for oral frailty in elderly diabetic pa-tients.The nomogram prediction model constructed based on these influencing factors demonstrates good performance.

elderlytype 2 diabetesoral frailtynomograminfluencing factorsprediction model

仲蕾、张会、许静、陆雅维、项晓婷、王珩

展开 >

安徽医科大学护理学院,安徽合肥,230601

安徽医科大学第一附属医院,安徽合肥,230032

安徽省公共卫生临床中心,安徽合肥,230032

老年人 2型糖尿病 口腔衰弱 列线图 影响因素 预测模型

2020年国家重点研发计划项目2024年度安徽医科大学护理学院研究生青苗培育项目

2020YFC2006500hlqm120240080

2024

实用临床医药杂志
扬州大学,中国高校科技期刊研究会

实用临床医药杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.543
ISSN:1672-2353
年,卷(期):2024.28(16)
  • 5